Study On The Parking Demand Forecast And Supply Scale In Shenyang Central Area

In recent years, with the rapid development of social economy in our country, motorization process accelerating, motor vehicles increase sharply. Parking has become common problems in big city of China. As the central city, because of car, people concentrated, parking demand, leading to the parking problem. In the future for a long period, increased gradually with the Chinese people's material life level, there will be more and more families own private cars, which will lead to further aggravate the city center parking supply and demand contradiction. Parking has become urgent to solve the problem of city government departments. Therefore, the accurate prediction of the development trend of parking demand the use of scientific methods, puts forward the corresponding parking supply scale, is the key to solve the parking problem.This paper use Shenyang city center parking demand and supply scale as the research object, Separately from the parking demand forecast, the size of the supply of parking, parking layout planning and parking management policies and other aspects of the in-depth research status at home and abroad are summarized and analyzed, Combined with the concept of the center of the city, the scope of the center of the city were defined.This paper analyses separately from the parking situation, parking characteristic status, parking management characteristics of the present situation of Shenyang city parking status, and the existence of Shenyang downtown parking problem put forward.Based on the influence factors of parking demand analysis, combined with the Shenyang city parking status, in-depth analysis of the applicability of parking demand forecasting method, determined the suitable to Shenyang downtown parking demand forecasting model, and separately from the recent and long-term forecasting of Shenyang city center city parking demand.Combined with the parking supply situation of Shenyang City, established the parking supply principle appertaining parking, curb parking, public parking lot outside the road, through the analysis of the factors affecting the supply of parking facilities, presents the application of benefit evaluation theory in the parking lot reasonable supply scale to determine the feasibility Management from government departments, parking operators and users point of view to build a benefit evaluation index, comprehensive evaluation model to determine the application of Shenyang downtown parking field, off street parking, parking supply ratio of parking spaces, parking supply and different parking determined.Aiming at the existing problem of parking in downtown Shenyang, combined with the development needs of Shenyang city parking management, respectively, countermeasures and suggestions applicable to parking in downtown Shenyang city development are proposed from the policy and management, urban planning and construction of parking center.The innovation of this paper include:This paper used two kinds of model of Shenyang downtown parking demand, and combined with the trend of economic and social development of Shenyang city on the prediction results are corrected, improved the accuracy of forecasting results; Evaluation of parking facilities benefit application based on model of Shenyang city with the construction, road parking, curb parking supply scale of reasonable proportion, realize the center city parking coordination of demand and supply; Combined with the demand of Shenyang downtown parking development, in view of the existing city center parking management problems, put forward countermeasures and suggestions for the development of parking in downtown Shenyang.