The Study On The Competitive Strategy Of Each Mode Of Transport In The Regional Passenger Transport Corridor Based On The Game Theory

In recent years, with the rapid development of Chinese socio-economic requirements, the transportation industry has been developing rapidly. The rapid rise of high-speed railway not only meet the increasing demand for passenger transportation with other means of transport, but also has brought a certain impact to other modes of transportation. This impact will bring the competition among the various modes of transport. In order to avoid the negative effects of various unhealthy competitions of various modes of transport, this paper analyzed and studied the game process with the actual situation. Then by use of the equilibrium results of the article, we can not only give advice to all modes of transport how to choose the strategy and action, but also provide certain reference to help the government traffic management department to make a balance between the competition. This approach has a certain practical significance. This paper selected the regional passenger transport corridor for competitive environment, then chosen passenger transport market competition object, finally analyzed all modes' competition strategy selection by game theory.After present situation in home and abroad are summarized, this paper divided the passenger market into six sub markets according to the passenger income levels and purpose of travel, then analyzed the factors which affecting passenger choices in depth and detail. After that, the factors have been simplified for five decisive factors: safety, price, speed, comfort and convenience. Nest, the indicators of time's economic value has been used in the quantization of the decisive factors and determination of the decisive factor's weight. Then the traveler's benefit function has been given based on the above. In order to reduce the effect of game process, the improved gravity model has been used to forecast the passenger flow which is closely related to the game process.Based on the characteristics and development status of the passenger transport modes in China, this paper analyzed the modes' competitiveness from three aspects: the economic and technical characteristics, the cost of passenger transport and the sharing of passenger transport. Then the improved Logit model has been adopted in the forecast of passenger transport share. After that, the method of make the passenger travel benefits equal has been used to delimit every mode's competitive distance. This method based on the each mode's advantages and disadvantages. Then we obtained the distance range of every mode in relation to every passenger transport sub market.After the corresponding analysis of participants, optional strategies, game process In the game of regional transport corridor, this paper constructed a price game model and a speed game model which choose maximize the social benefit as the objective function. Then the solutions of these models were selected by three algorithms: particle swarm optimization algorithm, adaptive mutation particle group method, immune particle swarm optimization algorithm. Then these algorithms have been realized.This paper selected Lan-Xin passenger transport corridor for empirical research. The results found that immune particle swarm algorithm is most suitable optimization algorithm for solving these models. Finally, some conclusions has been obtained : In the shorter distance segment of Lan-Xin passenger transport corridor, the price game of common rail, high speed railway and highway transportation showing a situation of tripartite confrontation; In the longer distance segment of Lan-Xin passenger transport corridor, the high speed railway occupies the absolute advantage whether in the overall passenger market or in the high-end passenger market.but its speed still has some room for growth, that means if we can break the difficulties of Lan-Xin high speed railway's speed increasing,it will bring greater social benefits. Based on the analyses of the competitive equilibrium results in Lan-Xin passenger transport corridor's three representative distance range, this paper proposed corresponding suggestions to each mode of transport about the competitive strategy finally.