The Geopolitical Risks Of “ Belt And Road” And It's Measures

"Belt and Road" is not based on geopolitical strategy,but it also has spatial geographical connotation.If “Belt and road” strategy successfully completes,China will get a great geopolitical gains.However High yield often means high risk.In order to ensure the strategy moving steadily,analyzing the geopolitical risks of the strategy,and thinking about the way to deal with it,is very important.In current studies,the concept of geopolitical risk is in puzzle.Geopolitical political risk and geopolitical's risks are two concepts,which are used in current research.The contrast of two concepts shows the geopolitical risk concept in the perspective of international political.The new concept of geopolitical risk is the foreign policy,behavior and geopolitical events,which can stimulate the geopolitical game between international political behavior or geopolitical landscape changing.So the concept of“Belt and road ” geopolitical risk has the characteristics of dynamic and integrity.Cohen's multipolar world model theory with holism and dynamic perspective,it can analyze the international political behavior dynamic changes in the structure of geopolitics,thus can be used in "Belt and Road" geopolitical risk analysis.Cohen's Multipolar World Model Theory shows that the policies of the state which contains geopolitical considerations,are going to seek the growing in geopolitical structure.”Belt and Road” accelerate the maturity of East Asia Geostrategic Realms,and expansion it's influence.But geopolitical risks show up.From Cohen multipolar world model theory,the geopolitical risks of "Belt and Road" strategy as follows: First,in the East Asia Geostrategic Realms,it will meet internal obstacles of the construction of the connectivity and the external interference risk;Second,in the meting of Geostrategic Realms,it will meet powers strategic competition,which can make the Eurasia merge area fragmentation;Finally,in the Fragment Pattern of Middle East,it will meet more "three forces" influences.All the way China's measures to the "Belt and Road" geopolitical risk canstart from the five paths.From the geopolitical structure level,advancing carefully avoiding structure instability;in the East Asia Geostrategic Realms,strengthen more class interests coordination in the prefecture level and provide more public diplomacy;in the meting of Geostrategic Realms,implement the principle of seeking common ground while putting aside differences to build the multi-agent to build mechanism;in Eurasia merge area fragmentation,keeping the US-Russian equilibrium condition and show China's ability in non-traditional security issues;in the theoretical level,creation and spread the "Belt and Road" collaborative geopolitical imagination.