A Statistical Analysis Of The Impact Of Social Security Expenditure On The Consumption Of Urban And Rural Residents

At present, China is in the transition period of economic structure, the mode of economic growth began to rely on excessive dependence on external demand to domestic demand, in the domestic demand by the excessive dependence on investment to rely more on consumption, and the current economic development is still "overheating" "Lack of consumption" and other prominent phenomena. In recent years, China's GDP growth continued downward, GDP growth in 2015 fell below 7%for the first time, 2016 GDP growth continued to decline to 6.5%. Residents income level, household savings, price levels and so will affect the residents of the consumer countermeasures. In the income of urban and rural residents, social security expenditure accounted for part of the impact of the impact of the consumption of residents in the end how much, if there is a positive impact effect, whether we can increase the social security expenditure approach to further stimulate consumer spending, Consumption rate, expanding domestic demand has become the focus of academic research community eager attention. China's urban and rural residents in various areas of consumption habits, environment, income levels are quite different,and weaken the residents of the future uncertainty of the expected social security system there are also large urban and rural differences, the existence of the various differences will be in a certain The extent of the consumption of urban and rural residents have different effects. In order to make the research results more valuable and practical, it is necessary to study the impact of urban and rural social security expenditure on the consumption of residents respectively.This paper first introduces the theoretical basis of the mechanism of social security on the consumption of residents and the social security effect. Then, it analyzes the residents' consumption and social security situation at the present stage of the second-tier developed cities, including Qingdao. Then, with the extended life cycle Based on the theoretical model, the paper constructs the measurement model between the per capita income of urban and rural residents in Qingdao and Jinan, the per capita consumption expenditure, the per capita social security expenditure and the per capita savings balance, so as to examine the social security expenditure of residents in Qingdao and Jinan Concrete impact, further contrast found in Qingdao City, social security and consumer consumption in the operation of the problems,in-depth analysis of the problem, the right medicine.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows:1 Compared with the second-tier developed cities in China, although the total GDP and fiscal expenditure of Qingdao are at a high level, the consumption rate and social security level of Qingdao are low.2 In the long run, the consumption of urban and rural residents in Qingdao is affected by the income of residents, the level of social security and the factors of household savings, and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between variables. The effect of residents 'income on the consumption of residents is the largest, and the effect of rural residents' income on rural residents 'consumption is greater than that of urban residents. The social security expenditure of urban and rural areas has positive effect on residents' consumption. , And the urban area of this promotion is greater than the rural areas.3 In the short term, the impact of social security spending on household consumption is uncertain, and this uncertainty depends on the net effect of social security "asset substitution" and "lead to retirement effects".4 Compared with the residents' consumption rate and social security expenditure at a high level of Jinan City, the urban social security expenditure of Qingdao city is less than that of Jinan city, but the positive situation of rural social security for rural residents in Qingdao is The impact is bigger than Jinan City;Finally, for the above phenomenon, the reasons for analysis, and gives the relevant countermeasures and suggestions.