Trends Of Migration Reasons In China

Population issues for our country in terms of economic and social development are significant.Population is one of the key factors in all aspects of population and resources,economic and social development to achieve harmony.With the rapid development of China’s economy,the economic gap between regions gradually widening,under strict household registration system has gradually liberalized,the inherent spatial state population gradually changed,and gradually expand the scale of migration for China’s social produced an important and far-reaching impact.Therefore,the analysis of the status quo and to study migration future trends for the development of scientific and effective policies and the coordinated development of population and natural resources,economy,society has played a positive role.The paper is from the view of population migration reason.Select the fifth national census data and the sixth national census data.Firstly,compare the mobility trends to grasp the law of population migration development and trend by analyzing the differences and changes.Secondly,the analysis of changes in the structure of mobility,find work and business is the main reason of migration,a substantial increase in the proportion of mobility.In addition,for cities,towns,villages analyze the difference changes and trends of our mobility,to further explore the current situation of population mobility,to make relevant policy recommendations lay the foundation.Finally,using a modified Lee-Carter model for mobility to fit and predict,in the case of fitting curves to better fit the observed values,the prediction curve given further explore population mobility trends.By observing the prediction curve,we find the future mobility of our population still maintained growth trend.With the rapid growth of Chinese economy,the new transformations of the economic structure,and re-adjust the industrial structure,especially with the gradual relaxation of the reform of the household registration system,were to some extent on the facilitator of migrants.On this basis,the area where there is a large scale of population migration need to greatly improve their population carrying capacity,and the out-migratory areas need to strengthen policy support in investment,make full use of various local resources,especially human resources,and prevent excessive labor migration.By exploring the migration situation and structural changes,an accurate grasp of the law of migration and predict future trends,it is conducive to achieve sustainable development.