Construction And Evaluation Of Low Carbon Development Index System In Hunan Province

With the change of climate,all the world realize that low carbon development is so important,our country also actively responded and emphasized the importance of low carbon development.Because of hunan province positive response and relevant policy advantages,so in order to do the research of low carbon development evaluation choose hunan province as an example.Through the statistical textbook of Hunan Province and the Hunan Province Statistical Bulletin that collected the data.According to the situation of Hunan province and IPCC guide,select carbon emissions calculation model suitable for the actual situation of Hunan Province,and the estimated 14 cities from 2008 to 2013 related to carbon emission index.Considered from the aspects of economic development,social development and environmental development,using the composite index method,construct the index system of low carbon development in Hunan Province The principal component analyed by SPSS software determined the weight of each index value.The comprehensive score of the index system of low carbon development in Hunan Province,the evaluation is divided into four levels: the level of low carbon development,low carbon development level,development level,carbon in the high carbon development level.Using this system to evaluate the low carbon development of Hunan Province in 2008 to 2013.The result showed that Hunan province is in the near low carbon development level.Based on grey theory,the grey model was built with MATLAB software,to predict the future five years of low carbon development in Hunan province.Analysis of the data showed excellent result of economic development in Hunan Province.,The proportion of the use of clean energy has declined,the overall tends to be conducive to the development of low carbon direction.Low carbon development of the province can go by use of coal fuel products,strengthen the construction of the development of the third industry.At the same time,through the introduction of low-carbontechnology to reduce energy consumption in the second industry or the use of clean energy to complete the industrial transformation and energy transformation.