Study On The Development Of Second-hand Car Market Based On Grey System Theory

Since twenty-first Century, although China's second-hand car market has achieved rapid development, the entire second-hand car market is in a small-scale, low technology and disordered developing environment. In recent years, the entire country's auto industry in the rapid growth period, the expansion of the second-hand car market is due to the development of the automobile industry, the state also issued a series of regulations and policies to guide the development of second-hand car market, but with the emergence of market development will inevitably new problems.[1] The entire automotive industry must find new growth points, When the new car market reach a saturation point, while second-hand car is one of the new growth points. To ensure good convergence between the automobile industry two growth points, we must be ready in all aspects. In-depth analyze the used car market, analyze its associated factors, forecast its market changes, based on the development needs to adjust policy and so on are the problem need to be studied, so this paper has a very practical significance for the development of the used car market study.this article take research aim at promoting stable development of the used car market,take a comparative analysis, grey correlation analysis, grey prediction and regression analysis as the concrete analysis method. The paper adopts the method of theoretical analysis and quantitative calculation to study the development status of the domestic used car market and the problems that may be encountered.On the basis of referring to a large number of relevant literature, the paper firstly discusses the definition and characteristics of the related concepts, characteristics and the related definitions and characteristics of the used car market. Secondly, based on the relevant concepts,this paper analyzed developed country‘s used car market,think the mature of the second-hand car market should have a considerable size, standard transaction and perfect regulations to support,diversified transaction mode. Comparison of the domestic market, think that our second-hand car market with a larger space for development, but there are still many problems may restrict the development of second-hand car market, on these issues draws from the experience of developed countries then proposed solution ideas. Then choose some factors from the automotive industry and economic sectors, analyzed its relationship with the used car sales, performed association analysis to calculate and predict the size and structure of the used car market. Correlation analysis results showed that the impact of private car ownership and per capita GDP of the largest used car, so this paper chose these two factors as relevant factors to forecasting regression analysis. Both the Regression analysis and gray prediction method are indicated used car trading volume will be rapid development. Forecast results for the market structure shows that the proportion of passenger cars is the largest, the fastest growth rate, in recent years, the volume of the SUV and the volume of the trade volume increase gradually. Finally, according to the analysis of the used car market before proposed that the used car market wants to develop, need to implement the adjustment from the market system established, the service platform build and the government regulation three aspects.