A Study On Provincial Comparison Of Industrial Structure Evolution Of Inbound Tourism And The Optimization Countermeasures In China

With the development of social economy and people's growing spiritual needs, tourism has become one of the emerging industries which develop so fast. However, the inbound tourism in our country has more space to grow up in the development speed and the position in tourism industry. At the present, in order to realize the goal of speed and effect the development of tourism industry does not only depend on the expansion of the number of tourism resources, but also the reasonable industrial structure. Therefore, studying the development level of provincial tourism and their industrial structure is beneficial for analyzing the factors which restrict the optimization of industrial structure, and it can contribute to find the direction of optimizing industrial structure. What's more, it will promote the economic growth for China's inbound tourism.On the basis of predecessors' research, taking the inbound tourism industry as the research object, this paper applies the static Shift-Share Analysis Method and the index of industrial structure change to analyze the growth of international tourism income, which can be classified into four patterns:rapid growth type, structural driven type, competitiveness-driven type and lagged growth type. Then it selects four typical provinces as the representative of the four types, and uses dynamic SSM to study the dynamic changes of industrial structure and its level of optimization, the results are as follows:(1) In general, the development of inbound tourism in our country is different among the 31 provinces. the eastern coastal area has the highest inbound tourism revenue growth, the central region is in the second, the western region has the lowest growth in the international income.(2) The tourism industrial structure changes with time, overall, the departments of long distance transportation, accommodation and shopping account for a dominant proportion in the international tourism.(3) Static SSM shows that most of the provinces in the eastern area is has not advantage of structure, and competitive advantage differs province by province, although the provinces which have the highest international income are nearly in the eastern coastal areas.(4) Dynamic SSM reveals that the four typical provinces'National Growth Effects increase by time, and the Industrial Mix Effects are so low that they change small, only that in Guangdong province has increased slightly. The Competitiveness Effect of Xinjiang autonomous region and Shaanxi province gradually improve over time, but that of Guangdong and Heilongjiang has a downward trend.(5) According to the method that divide tourism industries into three parts, the Development Department in Xinjiang has the dominant advantage within a certain time period, on the contrary,the Fundamental Department and Core Department of the other three provinces have absolute advantages in the study period. Therefore, the optimization of Xinjiang autonomous region's inbound tourism industrial structure is higher than Guangdong province.Based on the above analysis, under the guidance of the goal and principle of industrial structure optimization, this paper puts forward the factors effecting the growth of structure and the countermeasures for inbound tourism industry structure optimization.