Research On Early Warning And Analysis System Of Public Opinion Of Import And Export Trade Friction

In this paper,firstly,it expounds the research background and research significance of trade friction.Through the literature review of import and export trade friction and public opinion early warning,this paper points out the current research situation and existing problems at home and abroad,and puts forward the main contents and research methods.Then,it gives a brief introduction to the import and export trade friction and public opinion early warning and defines its connotation,characteristics,function and present situation.Next,the paper makes a case study on the current situation of import and export trade friction in Jiangsu Province and relevant data.On the basis of theoretical analysis and case data analysis,this paper constructs the early-warning model of trade friction.Finally,based on the model,the analysis systemt of rade friction public opinion early warning is designed and developed,and the result display and application foreground are studied.The main conclusions of this paper include:(1)The research on the early-warning analysis model of public opinion on the trade friction of import and export mainly includes three parts.First of all,it is the design of the public opinion early warning indicators of trade friction.Based on the theory of trade friction,public opinion and the analysis of the actual trade friction data,the indicators of early warning were screened out.Secondly,the indicators were revised by means of relevant research results and expert questionnaire survey,and finally it builds the index system of public opinion early warning in trade friction from four levels,which is Economy,Trade,Technology and Health Environment.Finally,based on Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP),the weights of each index are calculated,and an early-warning model of import and export trade friction is formed.According to the early warning model,we can calculate the risk level of each product.This part is the foundation and core of the analysis system of trade friction public opinion early warning,which is of great significance to the steady and rapid development of trade activities.(2)The establishment of the Jiangsu Public Opinion Early warning and Analysis System of Import and Export Trade Friction and the practical application research.On the basic of the early warning model of trade friction,the paper design and develop the early warning system and realise the statistical analysis,rend display,risk analysis,risk early warning and industry response of trade friction data.The early warning system realizes the integration analysis and association excavation of trade activity information.Also,the system can take timely prevention and early warning work on the information,which exists hidden or is not conducive to the operation of trade information.The system can be able to provide the industry,enterprises and institutions with risk response measures and coping strategies to trade friction.The system has practical effect on the technical barrier of trade in Jiangsu Province and is of great significance to improve the risk response and control of trade friction.