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Economic Growth And Industrial Structure Evolvement In Northeast China:An Empirical Analysis

Posted on:2018-10-22Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:L Y TaiFull Text:PDF
GTID:2359330515960928Subject:Western economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Before the reform and opening up,the industrial and agricultural industry and the weight of China's economy in the proportion of the obvious differentiation,which is the government only pay attention to the development of heavy industry results.After the reform and opening up,has been committed to the adjustment of industrial structure,the northeast of the evolution of the process of industrial structure began to the market to the general upgrading of the way,which also effectively promoted the region's rapid economic growth of the industry.However,the deep-seated structural and systemic problems of the northeast need to be reformed constantly:the weak agricultural base,the relative lag of raw materials and other basic industries,the surplus of general processing capacity and insufficient finishing capacity,and so on,some problems will restrict the economic growth of Northeast China.By understanding these related backgrounds,this paper establishes the east three provinces as the typical analysis and inquiry,and empirically analyzes the relationship between industrial structure evolvement and economic growth in northeast China.Firstly,the correlation theory of industrial structure evolvement and economic growth is combed.Secondly,using a variety of statistical analysis methods,the industrial structure of the northeast of the rationalization and the degree of advanced measurement,and analysis of the Northeast region's industrial structure and economic growth of the relationship between the provinces.Through the normative analysis method,the problems existed in the regional industrial structure of Jilin Province,Liaoning Province and Heilongjiang province were judged rationally.The present situation analysis results show that the east three provinces relate to the surplus labor force in the first industry,which leads to the inevitable problem of unemployment of employees;the shortage of labor force in the secondary industry;the employment of the third sector has shifted from inadequate to surplus,and the bottleneck is beginning to emerge.Finally,using the method of empirical analysis,based on the time series data and using the industrial structure rationalization and the Advanced Measurement index to calculate the index of the districts and the high level index.Based on this,the corresponding econometric model is designed to determine the impact of industrial structure rationalization and advanced on economic growth.The results of econometric analysis show that,although the industrial structure rationalization and advanced in the Northeast have significant influence on economic growth,the unreasonable industrial structure can restrain economic growth when the economy develops rapidly.This paper uses a large number of statistical data to calculate and analyse.These data are mainly the Statistical Yearbook of the provinces in the northeast province of 2015 and the data recorded in the Statistical Yearbook of our country.This article selects 1952-1977 years of data to carry on the analysis of the industrial structure and employment structure of northeast China before the reform and opening up;the 1978-2014 data used the summation method and combined with the original data of the search to obtain all the accurate data in the region,and for GDP,the use of China's 2000-year CPI to calculate the real economic growth rate.
Keywords/Search Tags:transformation of industrial structure, economy of DongBei, rationalization, up-grading
PDF Full Text Request
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