Analysis Of Power Industry Investment Decision Under Uncertainty

As an important pillar of the national economy and the pilot industry,the development of the power industry to promote social and economic progress and improve people's livelihood has a key support and security role.With the new era of China's economic and social changes and the era of large-scale transformation of energy and global energy changes in the power industry investment is facing a lot of uncertainty.Thanks to the increasing power generation and transmission and distribution technology,electricity as a commodity can be a large-scale output,and can travel far away from the hospital to send,so that the popularity of electricity and the use of efficiency as a measure of a country Or one of the criteria for the level of modernization of the region.Energy-saving emission reduction,green and low-carbon development concept makes China's power generation industry is actively taking the initiative to adjust the power structure,change the mode of power production.The overall advancement of the electricity market reform and the interchange of multiple types of electricity will make the power industry investors face more uncertainty in the project investment decision-making,this paper studies the current situation and trend of power generation industry development and investment in China,and puts forward the problems of power generation industry investment,and analyzes the uncertain factors that affect the investment decision of the power generation industry.Combined with the characteristics of investment in power generation industry and the theoretical method of industrial investment decision,select the quantifiable uncertainty under the conditions of the power industry investment decision-making important influencing factors indicators to verify the importance of.To achieve the purpose of decision-making optimization,combined with the theory of modern portfolio,adding the addition effect between projects and applying genetic algorithm to optimize the investment portfolio of power generation industry,in order to achieve the future power generation industry construction project investment rationality,high efficiency,comprehensive planning and optimization methods and reference.