Yunnan Province Emerging Tax Source Mining And Forecasting

The steady increase of tax revenue has an important supporting role for the sustained and stable growth of fiscal revenue.Changes in the economy affect the closely linked tax source structure.New changes have taken place in the economy of Yunnan Province in the new period.Corresponding new changes have taken place in the tax source structure of Yunnan Province,which is closely linked with economic development.A comprehensive study of Yunnan Province's taxation data can provide a clearer picture of the changes in the structure of tax sources in Yunnan in the new era,and provide the basis for Yunnan provincial government to do a good job in the taxation work in Yunnan Province in the new period.The research content of this paper is mainly divided into six chapters: The first chapter is the introduction part.It mainly elaborates the research background,research significance,research content and research methods of this article.The second chapter is the review of relevant theories and literatures.Mainly comprehensively discusses domestic and foreign literature on economic growth and tax growth,tax source structure and tax growth,tax forecast and other research status,at the same time,it elaborates on the concept of tax source definition and tax revenue growth forecast theory;the third chapter is the basic tax revenue of Yunnan Province According to the situation analysis,the taxation analysis of the overall taxation status of Yunnan Province from 2012 to 2016 was conducted first,and then the sub-industry analysis was conducted based on three industry perspectives;the fourth chapter was the screening,excavation and prediction of emerging tax sources,firstly from the province level to Yunnan.Provincial tax revenue analysis by industry data analysis,this part of the analysis is mainly from the tax revenue growth rate,the tax value from a multi-angle analysis,and then from various levels of state-level taxation data for its sub-sectors similar multiangle analysis,and then select the emerging Tax source industry,finally because there are fewer years of available tax data,This method uses the grey forecasting method to carry out relevant forecasting analysis.Through the GM(1,1)forecasting model,the forecast value of the emerging tax source industry in the next two years can be obtained to provide reference for judging the changing trend of the emerging tax source industry;The analysis results of the chapter propose countermeasures to promote the development of emerging tax sources in Yunnan Province.The sixth chapter summarizes some of the deficiencies of this paper,and at the same time,it provides relevant prospects for future research directions.