Research On The Macro Control Policy Impact To The Commercial Housing Price In Harbin

Housing problem,is not only the economic problem,but also about social harmony and stability of the national economy and people's livelihood issues.Since cancelled housing material distribution system in 1998,China's commercial housing market has been rapid development.But the excessively rapid growth of commercial housing price in recent years,serious departure from the value of commodity housing,has aroused widespread concern in the community.In order to make a reasonable return of commercial housing price,the state introduced a series of macroeconomic policies for regulation.However,from the current situation of China's commercial housing price growth,the control policy did not achieve the desired results,remains to be further theory research.Based on the summary of macroeconomic regulation and control policy in recent years,find that China's main macro control policies applied to commercial housing market are economic policy such as fiscal policy,monetary policy and land policy,among which tax,interest rate and land price are important means.Therefore,this paper provide tax,interest rate,land price as the main line to study the impact of regulatory policies on commercial housing prices.The impact of macroeconomic regulation and control policy on the price of commercial housing is a complicated system engineering.This paper takes Harbin as an example,use the system dynamics method,through Vensim software,from the mechanism of financial policy,monetary policy and land policy on commodity house price,selecting indicators to establish causal loop diagrams,to further qualitative analysis the macro control policies on commercial housing price;Then,based on the causal circuit diagram,select the key indicators to establish the stock flow chart,determine the quantitative relationship between the various factors,conduct the system dynamics simulation;Finally,the validity of the model is verified by the simulation results and the true value.Under the premise of the model,the policy control experiment is carried out and the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward according to the experimental results.Through the macro control policy on the impact of commercial housing prices,to deepen the understanding of the internal factors affecting the commercial housing market system,to has a reference and guiding significance when our country formulate macro-control policies to curb the price of commercial housing.