A Study On The Perception Of Heavy Rainfall And Livelihood Strategies Of Farmers In Mountainous

As an important direction to solve the problems of rural development,sustainable livelihoods research has attracted wide attention to scholars from home and abroad.In research on agriculture,rural areas,and farmers,livelihoods and poverty alleviation are closely linked.However,natural disasters as a livelihood-frail external factor hamper livelihoods sustainable development seriously.Under the background of global climate change,the destructiveness has an increasing trend.The extreme precipitation event is one of the typical representatives in natural disasters,it will affects livelihoods directly or indirectly.The links and factors of Disruption in the livelihood process will increase the fragility of farmers,leading to unsustainable livelihoods and impeding rural economic and social development and progress.Therefore,it is imperative to actively participate in the discussion of solving livelihood problems of rural livelihoods.Chinese poverty in the rural areas,and rural poverty in mountain areas.China has a vast mountainous area.Among them,the total area of mountainous region and hilly area in Fujian Province is over 80%.Yanping as a typical example of mountainous areas in Fujian Province,affected by heavy precipitation and its secondary disasters(floods,mudslides,landslides)seriously.The frequency of strong precipitation in the past three years was significantly higher than in previous years,which has a great impact on the perceptions of rural livelihoods and livelihood strategies.The basis for the choice of livelihood strategy is livelihood capitals.Disaster perception is an important part of farmers' cognition,and it is also an important factor to consider in the construction of new countryside.People's decisions and actions are based on the perception of the environment,so perception is one of the key factors in the choice of livelihood strategies.In summary,it is helpful to explore the relationship between livelihood capitals,perception and livelihood strategies of rural livelihoods,and to help understand and improve the livelihood of rural under the influence of heavy rainfall disasters.Based on meteorological and geological disaster data,this study selected seven villages in the three townships of Laizhou,Wangtai and Luxia,took mountainous rural households as the research object,and analyzed the household's perception and livelihood strategies in strong precipitation.Therefore,this study quantifies the livelihood capitals of the interviewed farmers in the mountainous region of Yanping with the sustainable livelihood evaluation indicator system based on the sustainable analysis framework put forward by the UK international development agency.Firstly,Spearman correlation analysis was used to analyze the relationship between livelihood capitals and farmer perception.The Logistic Binary Regression model was used to analyze the relationship between livelihood capitals and livelihood strategies.Finally,the multinomial logistic regression model was used to analyze the relationship between perception and livelihood strategies.The measures for improving the livelihood of rural households were proposed in conjunction with the status of the surveyed farmer households,which provided theoretical and practical values for the sustainable livelihood development of rural households under the influence of natural disasters.Through the investigation and research of this study,the following conclusions are drawn:(1)Through the calculation of the total value of livelihood capitals,the five major livelihood capitals of the interviewed rural households are extremely unbalanced.From high to low,they are material capital,human capital,financial capital,social capital,and natural capital.The imbalance in the five major capitals is an important reason for the weak ability to counter the risk of heavy precipitation disasters.(2)Through the analysis of the correlation between livelihood capitals and perception,the positive and negative correlations between the five capitals and farmers' perceptions are significant,and there is a significant positive correlation between natural capital and nine perceived variables.Thus it can be seen that more farmers with natural capital have a more pronounced perception of the difficulties caused by heavy precipitation.In addition,farmers with more material capital,financial capital,and human capital are more likely to have strong precipitation than farmers with less capitals.(3)Through the regression analysis of livelihood capitals and livelihood strategies,natural capital is a key factor for rural households preferring agricultural income to a comparatively large livelihood strategy.The absence of natural capital can easily drive farmers to seek alternative livelihoods.Farmers have more physical capital,financial capital,human capital,and social capital tend to livelihood strategies of higher non-agricultural income.The lack of human capital is an important reason for limiting the change of livelihood strategies for rural households.(4)Through regression analysis of livelihood strategies and perceptions,it was found that when farmers think that landslides and mudslides have a greater impact on themselves,they are more inclined to change their livelihood strategies.Farmers who lose confidence in their own awareness and ability to resist disasters still tend to have higher proportions of agriculture.The key for overcoming the obstacles of farmers to adapting to heavy precipitation is promote their awareness of disaster prevention and enhance their ability to resist disasters.Therefore,aiming at the lack of pertinence in current policies,inadequate development of disaster prevention work,and the need for improving the overall education level of rural households.combining with the analysis of livelihood capitals,perceptions and livelihood strategies,proposing to strengthen the disaster prevention work for relevant departments;Improving the education level,disaster prevention and disaster awareness;Increasing support for rural industries in disaster risk zones;Promoting social assistance and other countermeasures.