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The Analysis Of Influence Factors Of The Electric Bicycle Drivers Bodily Harm In The Traffic Accidents

Posted on:2018-01-26Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y LiuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2382330596952890Subject:Transportation engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
With the improvement of living standards of the masses,personnel and goods circulation,individual demand for transportation increasing,under this background,electric bicycle ownership is growing rapidly.But the lagging of management means of the relevant laws,regulations,industry standards,make electric bikes bring social problem increasingly,involving all kinds of electric bicycle traffic accident frequency is one important aspect,especially involves carriage by injuries and even death by electric road traffic accident frequency.The early stage of the domestic and foreign scholars from different angles to the second round,including electric bicycles,low speed of the vehicle during a traffic accident analysis and research,but because of the data sample accuracy and limitations,adopted by the human body model for relating to the electric bicycle road traffic accident prevention work significance is smaller.Therefore,the purpose of this paper is to find out the factors that cause the personal injury and death of electric bicycle drivers,and to quantify the influence degree of related factors.Based on the data of traffic accidents from 2014 to 2016 in a city in eastern China,this paper investigates samples.First of all,through descriptive statistical analysis method,to distinguish the electric bicycle traffic accidents and other types of vehicle road traffic accident,and respectively according to the time sequence,climate change,driving personnel sequences,traffic accidents and road factors sequences,statistical analysis of data samples.From the Angle of accident quantity,the conclusion of statistical analysis is preliminarily obtained.Secondly,two logistic regression models were used to analyze the correlation analysis of the original data involving electric bicycle accident.From the first step involves nearly 30000 various types of electric bicycles in the case of road traffic accident data,get 19074 effective samples with complete data screening,to result in electric bicycle driver personal injury accidents,deaths,injuries and minor injuries)corresponding to the various factors is analyzed.Second step narrowing the scope of analysis and research,and through the 845 cases involving electric bicycle driver death or serious injury cases of road traffic accident data filtering,get 732 effective samples with complete data,involving electric bicycle driver death of traffic accidents,this paper analyzes the factors which influence.Finally,the factors affecting the personal injury of electric bicycle drivers are determined,focusing on the seasons,temperature,temperature difference,precipitation,age,gender and so on.The factors that lead to the death of electric bicycle drivers are concentrated in the time period of traffic accidents,the shape of the accident,the type of the other party,whether the driver is injured in the head or not.At the same time,the results of the above two data analysis methods are compared and verified.In the end,through the analysis of this article as a result,put forward the proposal from the perfect laws and regulations,improve the traffic environment,improve the personnel protection and vehicle performance.reducing the risk of electric driver involved to death injuries of traffic accident probability.
Keywords/Search Tags:Electric Bicycles, Bodily Harm, Binary Logistic Regression Model
PDF Full Text Request
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