Research On Risk Management Of Water Diversion Project From The Nen River

With the development of our society and the increasing frequency of economic activities,the water conservancy industry has developed rapidly.As an important part of water conservancy projects,water transfer projects play an important role in alleviating the shortage of water resources and ensuring water safety.In recent years,the contradiction in water use in some areas has intensified,and local governments have planned to build water transfer projects of different sizes to meet the growing demand for water.The water transfer project has a long construction period and many construction contents.Therefore,how to systematically manage the water transfer project has become an important research direction.This article starts from the risk management theory and the development status of the water transfer project,and takes Water Diversion Project from the Nen River as the research object to conduct systematic risk research on it.First of all,the current situation of Water Diversion Project from the Nen River is investigated,the risk factors of the entire construction period are analyzed,and the stakeholders of Water Diversion Project from the Nen River are analyzed by the stakeholder analysis method;Then the risk factors are identified by hall three-dimensional structure method and the risk set of Water Diversion Project from the Nen River is obtained;finally,combined with the system clustering method,determine the risk evaluation index system.Based on the obtained index system,combined with the evaluation standards,experts in the industry who have participated in the project management,design,construction and other work are invited to score.The first scoring goal is the range of values for each indicator.Statistic and analysis of the scoring results.Through the cloud model,generate a cloud image of each indicator as a standard cloud image;design the evaluation model through the improved CRITIC method for the second expert scoring Then input the index score after fitting,calculate the membership and the digital feature value of the cloud model,generate a cloud map and compare it with the standard cloud map,get the evaluation result,and determine the risk level of each index according to the evaluation result.The research shows that among the 25 evaluation indicators of Water Diversion Project from the Nen River,there are 6 with higher risk,7 with average risk,4 with lower risk,and 8 with extremely low risk.Finally,combined with risk assessment,it proposes higher risk,general risk,lower and very low risk control measures to provide a risk assessment method for the same type of water transfer project.