Research On The Economic Effect Of The Application Of New Optical Cable OPLC Technology

OPLC is optical fiber composite low-voltage cable.It's a new type of optical cable.OPLC technology is a general term,which includes optoelectronic composite technology,high-speed access technology,multi-user supply and demand interaction technology,etc.OPLC technology is a dual innovation of communication and power technology.It is also a technology for sharing communication infrastructure.It has become an important means to realize the energy Internet,solve the four-network convergence,and ensure the smooth application of 5G technology.In this paper,the application cost of OPLC technology is analyzed by using the life cycle cost theory.On the basis of cost analysis,the input-output model is used to compare and analyze the interaction between the intermediate departments and the factors affecting the total output in the scenario where the two technologies are applied separately.The economic effect evaluation system of traditional technology application can no longer be applied to OPLC technology application.This paper re-establishes an index evaluation system to quantitatively evaluate the economic effect of traditional technology application and OPLC technology application.Traditional top-down technology adoption model is difficult to explain individual demand behavior.Starting from the individual behavior of telecom operators,this paper designs the mechanism.The results show that: Firstly,the average life cycle cost of OPLC technology application projects is lower than that of traditional technology applications.And in the long run,the cost advantage of OPLC technology application is significantly higher than that of traditional technology applications.Secondly,In 2012,technology substitution weakened the spreading impact of 86% of sectors on other upstream industries,and technology substitution weakened the demand sensitivity of 90% of sectors to downstream industries.In 2015,technology substitution weakened the spreading impact of 86% of sectors on other upstream industries.In the short run,technology substitution did not enhance the backward spreading impact of all sectors,but had a negative effect.Technology substitution also weakened the demand sensitivity of 50% of sectors to their downstream industries,so the short-term technology substitution does not enhance the forward demand sensitivity of all sectors,but has a negative effect,but this negative effect is gradually weakening with the time goes by.After technology substitution,20 sectors have higher value-added of total output from 2012 to 2015,while only 2 sectors have lower value-added of total output,namely “accommodation and catering” and “health and social work”.It shows that OPLC technology is beneficial to increase the total output of most sectors..Thirdly,the gray correlation matrix of OPLC technology application and traditional technology application on economic effect target is(0.7934,0.511).The application of OPLC technology has produced more positive economic effects.Finally,the technology adopted by telecom operators depends on the telecom operators' ability to control market share of technology and expected length of the telecom operator.The profit function is a monotonically increasing function of?.The relationship between expectation and profit is uncertain and needs to be expressed by probability.This probability is closely related to the ability of telecom operators to control the market share of technology.In order to promote the application of OPLC technology,it is necessary to find a balance point of each telecom operator's ability to control the market share of technology.