The Age Development Track Of Old People’s Health In China And Its Changing Trend

The global population aging is increasingly becoming a serious social problem.The population projections released by the United Nations Department of Economics and Social Affairs(DESC)show that by 2035,the elderly population will reach 1.12 billion,accounting for 13.66% of the world’s total population.With the continuous increase of the elderly population in the world,especially the number of elderly people,the number of elderly people with disability and dementia is also increasing rapidly.The long-term care of the elderly has become a social problem that cannot be ignored.Compared with other developing countries,China has a larger population base.China is already the country with the largest number of elderly populations and the fastest growth.At the same time,China has a situation of “not getting rich first”,and the government’s pressure on long-term care for the elderly is increasing.The greater the situation,the establishment of a scientific and sustainable long-term security system under the general trend of population aging has become an important issue facing the state and society.The construction of China’s long-term care system started late,and has not yet formed a comprehensive long-term care system,which is not conducive to the further development of China’s long-term care support.The elderly,especially the disabled and the dementia,are the main demanders of long-term care services.The measurement of the age trajectory and the changing trend of the elderly’s health disability and dementia is an important basis for the future construction of China’s long-term care system.Realistic meaning.From the perspective of studying the health trends of Chinese elderly people,this paper uses the survey data of the Chinese elderly health longevity factor tracking survey(CLHLS)2005-2014 four stages to decompose the health level of the elderly from the three dimensions of age,period and cohort.In order to more clearly understand the changes in the health status of the elderly in China throughout the life course,and analyze the impact of gender,urban and rural areas,income on the health of the elderly,and more accurately predict the future health trends of Chinese elderly,here On the basis of this,specific measures are proposed to address the health risks of the elderly.This article is discussed in the following six chapters: The first chapter is an introduction.According to the status quo of population aging,this paper puts forward the research background and writing significance,and defines the core concepts of the article.At the same time,it introduces the writing ideas and research methods of this paper.The second chapter reviews the domestic and foreign literatures,and sorts out the domestic and foreign literatures on the health evaluation indicators,health influence factors,life history theory and the trend of the elderly health changes,which lays a good foundation for the theoretical and empirical analysis of this paper.The third chapter studies the design,introduces the data source,the model and method used in this paper,and descriptive statistics on the structure and characteristics of the sample,paving the way for the empirical part below.The fourth chapter and the first chapter are respectively measured from the perspective of physical health and mental health of the elderly,using ADL and MMSE indicators,and using age,period,and cohort analysis methods to obtain the health trajectory of the elderly.The sixth chapter is the conclusion and suggestion,and the main conclusions of this paper are sorted out.And put forward some suggestions for the future construction of long-term care system for the elderly in China.