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Analysis Of The Performance Of The Chinese Super Team

Posted on:2019-10-15Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J Q YangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2417330566477260Subject:Applied Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In this paper the matches of 2012-2017 season teams and players technique index and the result of the match performance,evaluation of mathematical modeling,integrated performance in team player,strategic direction and performance of prediction were discussed.The sample is 2012-2017 season,a total of 96 group team a total of 231 samples,2016 season player single group,a total of 108 samples,2016 season game data,research variables including scoring 16 tactics indexes.This article has four research direction :(1)to evaluate team offensive and defensive situation each season,the rationality of the judging team per season strategy adjustment,mainly analyzes the guangzhou Evergrande and jiangsu su ning,using factor analysis.To extract the corresponding common factor score,offensive and defensive found guangzhou Evergrande has been in the position of the offensive team,jiangsu su ning due to reasonable strategy adjustment,the 2016 season,but both attack and defense in the 2017 season hit from both sides,not only embodies the important of players,and the importance of tactics;(2)using poisson regression is expected next season the team goals,absolute accuracy and mean absolute error measure fitting effect is good,illustrates the rationality of the model.In this paper,the prediction of poor teams were analyzed,and the results,the model for the squad a relatively stable team can make more accurate predictions.This analysis can become model applied in forecasting model prediction whether credible basis;(3)Looking for the most effective way to increase the probability of winning is the logical regression.Through regression coefficient and simple deduction,each standard deviation increase in attack indicators goal will make the game winning probability,a 94% increase in May for every standard deviation free-kick would win 32% increase in May and 41% more at home than away victory in the conclusion.The realization of this method is of great strategic significance,which can provide some ideas and direction for the team's strategic adjustment with a view to rapidly increasing the probability of winning.(4)comprehensive evaluation for each position player,it is also used factor analysis.We get each player offensive and defensive aspects of performance,the striker is highest scores pini zahavi,halfback is moreno,defender is ginger to peng,the goalkeeper is the pool view.For a single specialty,this article also has,for example analysis.The research of this direction is helpful for the coach to the player's various aspects and the overall situation do good grasp convenient system design at the same time.Through the analysis of the specific to each position players,this article also obtained the data reflect the strongest lineup is tie-in.In this paper,the model created to address the team strategy and evaluation of team performance has a certain reference function,can get very good play in practice.
Keywords/Search Tags:Factor analysis, poisson regression, logistic regression, index technique
PDF Full Text Request
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