Study On The Residence Intention Of Inter-provincial Inflow Population And Its Influence Factors In Xinjiang

With the gradual implementation of the reform and opening up policy and the continuous development and improvement of the socialist market economy system,the phenomenon of population mobility is becoming more and more common nationwide.The reform of the household registration system and the implementation of Western Development Strategy make Xinjiang step into the fast lane of economic development.The new urbanization reform and the citizenization of migrant workers and other related policies also provide a system guarantee for the living of a large number of inter provincial migration population flowing into Xinjiang.Based on the dynamic monitoring data of the national floating population in 2016(Xinjiang part),firstly this paper expounds the relevant concepts and theories,and then analyzes the demographic characteristics,economic characteristics and floating characteristics of the inter provincial floating population in Xinjiang by using descriptive statistical methods.Secondly I analyze the correlation between the residence intention and different characteristics of the inter provincial floating population in Xinjiang by using the contingency table method.After that,stata15.1 software is used to analyze the influencing factors of the long-term residence intention of the inflow population in Xinjiang province.The conclusions are as follows: Firstly,in terms of demographic characteristics,the Han nationality,married,agricultural household registration and female floating population account for the majority of the inflow population in Xinjiang province.Age,marriage and education have a significant impact on long-term residence intention,while gender,nationality and household registration have no significant impact.Secondly,from the perspective of economic characteristics,social security and family economic status have a significant impact on long-term residence intention,while employment status has no significant impact on long-term residence intention.The family economic situation shows that the average monthly income of floating population is 5477.00 yuan,and more than 75% of them are within 6500 yuan.The average monthly household expenditure is 2895.28 yuan,more than 90% of which are within 5000 yuan.Among the types of employment,more than 45% of the inflow population works in self-employed businesses and private enterprises,more than 60% of the inflow population is employees and self-employed workers,and nearly 30% of the inflow population has no job.Thirdly,in terms of the characteristics of mobility,the time of outward mobility,the time of local residence and the times of mobility all have significant effects on the long-term residence intention.More than 80% of the inflow population only flows once,and more than half of the inflow population has spent more than 5 years outside and living in Xinjiang for a long time.According to the above conclusions,this paper puts forward the following four policy recommendations: first,improve the social security system of the floating population to protect the legitimate rights and interests of the floating population;second,expand the education mode and strengthen the professional and technical training of the floating population;third,take more measures to improve the total income of the floating population families;fourth,deepen the reform of economic structure and increase employment.