Carbon Emissions Embodied In Sino-Japan And Sino-Korea Trade Under The New Trade Accounting System

With the deepening of the world economic integration and the extension of the global value chain,the scale of intermediate Products has continued to expand.Many commodities from design,raw material procurement,production processing,assembly,which different links is subdivided more parts in different countries or regions to complete.However,traditional statistical method can't distinguish the re-export,reflow and repeated calculations of foreign trade from a country.So that the traditional statistical method can not accurately measure the size of a country's real trade,and can not accurately calculate the real size of a country's Carbon emissions embodied in trade.In this paper uses the value-added statistics method under the new trade accounting system to re-estimation the real trade scale of Sino-Japan and Sino-Korea from 2000 to 2014.Research results show that China has a surplus in Sino-Japanese trade and it has a trade deficit between China and South Korea.Moreover,the new trade accounting results are much smaller,in other words,the traditional statistical method overestimated the real trade scale of Sino-Japan and Sino-Korea.Among them,the overestimated extent is 17% and 43% respectively in 2000,and the overestimated extent is 30% and 52% respectively in 2014.Based on the new trade accounting results,this paper has reviewed the real scale of the Carbon emissions embodied of Sino-Japan and Sino-Korea in trade.the results show: similarly,the new trade accounting results are smaller,the traditional trade statistics overestimated scale of the Carbon emissions embodied of Sino-Japan and Sino-Korea in trade.Among them,the overestimated extent was 19% and 35% respectively in 2000,the overestimated extent was 29% and 45% respectively in 2014.Moreover,China was a net exporter to Japan and South Korea in trade embodied Carbon.This shows that although China generally had a trade surplus with Japan,but it had undertaken a large amount of carbon emissions through bilateral trade in the trade environment.In trade,there were "double imbalances" in the trade and trade environment of Sino-Korea.On this basis,using the logarithmic Mean Divisia Index decomposition method to study the main effect factors of the real carbon emissions embodied in trade change of Sino-Japan and Sino-Korea.the results showed that: in general,the added value effect is positive and has the greatest influence.Explaining that expanding the scale of export is the main factor to promote the real carbon emissions embodied in trade growth of Sino-Japan and Sino-Korea bilateral trade.Technology effect and organizational effect are important factors in inhibiting the growth,especially the technical effect.The structure effect can promote the real carbon emissions embodied in trade growth from China to Japan,South Korea,but it have the opposite effect to import the real carbon emissions embodied in trade.This shows that the structure of trade,both Japan and Korea,is gradually improved,while China's trade structure has a trend of gradual deterioration.Finally,according to the empirical results of this paper,the relevant policy suggestions are put forward to reduce the scale of China's trade with Japan and South Korea,and to promote the development of China's low carbon economy.