Study On The Import And Export Of Chinese Rice Seeds

In the 21 st century,the seed industry has received unprecedented attention from the state and is in the golden opportunity period of national seed industry policy.And rice is the main source of world food,with early origin of rice cultivation in our country,the rich history of planting experience and traditional varieties,legacy of rice seed both in production and breeding technology is located in the world.According to the international rice research institute(lRRI),according to data from the world's population is expected to reach 7.5 billion in 2020,2050,8.9 billion,and population growth is concentrated in many such as rice,wheat,maize is the staple food in developing countries.With the increase of population,the scale of foreign trade of rice seeds in the world will increase.China is the world's largest producer of agriculture and the largest seed producer,as well as the world's second largest seed market.With the gradual opening up of China's agricultural policy,the import and export volume of Chinese rice seed industry will increase continuously.This article on the use of the field of agricultural trade first generalizes the theories of international trade,from the demand and supply,the domestic and foreign investment,these a few respects the world policy and the environment,analysis the relevant factors affecting the Chinese rice seed industry import and export trade growth,and summed up in 14.Through the Grey System Theory,the influence factors of fourteen factors and the close degree of the import and export trade of Chinese rice seed industry were obtained through the calculation of Grey Relational Degree.Finally,the future trade situation of rice seed industry in China is predicted by using Grey Forecast GM(1.1)model.The correlation degree of different influencing factors was analyzed in three stages.In the first stage,from 2003 to 2006,the import and export trade of Chinese rice seeds in this stage showed a trade surplus pattern,with the trade surplus growing by an average of 33.29%.The main reason for the rapid growth of this stage is the implementation of a series of open policies after China's accession to WTO.In the second stage,from 2006 to 2011,the import and export volume of China's rice seeds increased rapidly,increasing by more than 40%.The main reason for the rapid growth of China's rice seed trade surplus at this stage is the large increase of foreign investment in agriculture.In the third stage,from 2011 to 2017,the balance of China's rice seed import and export trade showed a large fluctuation,with the fluctuation range from47.79% to 69.11% in 2013.This is mainly caused by changes in the demand for rice seeds in the world.From the forecast of China's rice seed trade surplus,over the next decade,China's rice seed import and export trade will continue to increase at an average rate of around0.2%.However,from the overall perspective of global agriculture,the low cost,high efficiency and high yield of foreign agricultural products,the output of major agricultural countries is greater than the demand,and agricultural trade is active.The rice seed industry in China is in the middle of the world,and will be affected by the global agriculture and fluctuate.Therefore,it puts forward eight Suggestions from the perspective of subjective and objective,hoping to attract the attention and attention of China's rice seed industry.