The Coal Mine Safety Management And Accident Early Warning Methods Based On Grey Correlation And The Prediction

Along with the development of the socialist market economy and the influence of global energy crisis, the coal becomes more and more important in energy role. It is one of the key problems of the coal mine's safety management to realize healthy,high and continuous development. It has an important meaning of the coal mine enterprise implement effective precaution and timely management of safety accidents. And it is also meaningful for preceding the enterprise's normal production and improving the enterprise's comprehensive competition. According to Pingdingshan No. 1 Mine's current safety management, a grey system theory is used to establish the enterprise's safety accidents analysis and prediction model. Through the model, the each effective factors correlation grade is analyzed. And the coal mine's safety accidents prediction methods are discussed and researched. This provides a scientific and effective theory foundation for coal mine enterprise's production safety management.The main content is just as below:(1) The grey system theory and coal mine safety accidents'combining spot is researched based on the introduction of grey system theory.(2) The main cause factors which can influence the coal mine safety production is calculated in associated grade by grey correlation. And it is based on the safety production data statistics of the Pingdingshan No. 1 Mine. The enterprise'actual situation is analyzed too. The grey model is applied in coal mine safety accidents and modified by residual correction methods. It can improve the accuracy and also provide data support and theory foundation for enterprise's scientific safety management.(3) Through the analysis of grey model calculation results of the Pingdingshan No. 1 Mine and research of safety accidents characters, the safety cultural management model which also called"Humanistic management"is proposed in enterprise safety management model. The safety cultural management model is depending on enterprise's cohesion, influence and penetration. It can propel safety behavior become the workers'habit and use system safety management theory manage the objects.(4) A kind of knowledge management in coal mine safety accidents prediction method is proposed. The safety prediction methods'evaluation index system and the coal mine safety prediction model based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is researched. And the coal mine production safety management prediction operation model based on knowledge management and specialist supporting database base on studied model is researched too. This provides a new effective solution for disasters defense and reducing.At last, It provide a strong support for enterprise safe and effective production based on above research. It also improves enterprise production effectiveness and safety management. This provides a new solution idea for coal mine safety management system evaluation and prediction and control.