The Spatial-Temporal Patterns And Influencing Factors Of Domestic Tourist Flow In Shandong Province

This paper studies the domestic tourism flow in the host and reception cities as the research object.Taking Shandong Province as an example,and using the data of visitor arrivals in the mainland 31 provinces and 17 cities of Shandong Province visited in Shandong from 2005 to 2015.Then we apply the spatial statistics methods and Gini coefficient of location,analysing the temporal and spatial pattern of tourists and changes in trends.Finally,using the panel data,the influence factors of the tourism flow were measured and analyzed.Through the above analysis,this paper draws the following conclusions:(1)Spatial autocorrelation and location Gini coefficient show that visitor arrivals in Shandong Province have spatial agglomeration and the density of spatial concentration has been increasing.By calculating the tourist attraction radius,the using curve of tourist space and the analysis of the three-ring buffer,it shows that the number of tourists visiting shandong province is the largest within 660km of jinan.The spatial distribution of tourists,share in the tourist host area has been enhanced,showing a zonal distribution.There are significant spatial differences in the increase of tourist volume,among which,the six provinces of Hohhot,Jinan,Hefei,Lanzhou,Guizhou and Harbin show the highest increase,while Beijing-Liaoning-Jiangsu-Shanghai-Zhejiang-Fujian-Guangdong-Guangxi-Hainan-Yunn an-Xizang form a low value zone.(2)The domestic tourism flow at the place of reception has spatial agglomeration,and the degree of spatial concentration has declined.The spatial distribution of domestic tourists,share and increase are significant,with a band-like distribution.The overall spatial distribution pattern evolves from east to west from high value area-low value area-high value area-low value area.The increase in visitor volume formed the Weifang-Dongzhou-Binzhou-Dezhou high value zone,Heze-Zaozhuang-Tai'an high value point,the Qingdao-Yantai-Weihai low value zone,the Liaocheng-Jinan-Jining-Zibo low value zone.The distribution of tourists' consumption share is basically the same as that of the tourist quota,while the spatial distribution of consumption growth and per capita consumption growth is significantly different,showing a zonal distribution.The spatial and temporal distribution pattern of the flow index is presented from east to west by high-quality tourism flow-good tourism flow-general tourism flow-low quality tourism flow in turn.The coupling analysis of traffic flow and fluid quality shows that Qingdao,Jinan,Yantai,Jining,Linyi,Taian,Weifang and Zibo are high and high efficiency coupling zones.Rizhao,Dezhou,Liaocheng,Binzhou,Dongying,Laiwu,Heze,Zaozhuang belong to small,low-efficiency low coupling zone;Only Weihai is a small,high-efficiency non-coupling zone.(3)The social civilization degree,the economic development level,the linear distance and the population number are selected for the source of tourists;The economic development level,tourism resource endowment,tourist reception facilities and transportation infrastructure are selected in the reception area,establishing an econometric model that influences the amount of visitors from destination and destination.It is found that the above factors have a certain influence on the growth of tourist volume in Shandong province.Finally,based on the results of this paper,relevant policy Suggestions are proposed.