Study On The Spatio Temporal Evolution And Development Trend Of China's Inbound Tourism Market

As in 1978 after the reform and open policy gradually,through the government dominant,vigorously in China gradually established a relatively perfect infrastructure,in the same time because our country is humongous,rich in tourism resources,has a good geographical advantage,also more convenient transportation,so every year to attract a large number of foreign friends.As the number of tourists increases,the total tourism revenue also increases,and gradually the tourism industry becomes the pillar industry of our country.An important part of the tourism industry is inbound tourism,and it can also reflect the development level of a region or even the country's tourism industry.Since the reform and opening up,China's tourism industry has gradually become industrialization,market and rapid development.In recent years,China's inbound tourism has been at the top of the list,but the domestic development is not balanced.At present,domestic research on inbound tourism is relatively late.Although the theoretical method has been developed for a long time,there are still some deficiencies.The author after consult a large number of literature material,according to China's tourism yearbook,"China statistical yearbook and inter-provincial data provided by statistical information network in our country,from the two dimensions of time and space,by applying the international concentration index,geographic concentration index,center of gravity model,the annual change index,the grey prediction model and tourists attracted radius of combining quantitative qualitative analysis methods,such as method,integrated and comprehensive analysis of the China's inbound tourism market change characteristics of space and time,thus summed up the law,finally using the grey model to forecast analysis China inbound tourism in the future ten years the number of tourists and foreign exchange earnings,and for our country's tourism enterprises and management departments to formulate the relevant decision deployment,the purpose is to extend the tourist market,optimizing industrial structure,improve the service quality of tourist destination market.This article consists of seven parts,as follows:One,introduction,introduces the background,theoretical significance and practical significance of the topic,scholars at home and abroad based on the research of the inbound tourism literature was summarized and a overall summary,and then the research content and method,this article is written,construct the whole framework of this article.The second,third and fifth parts are mainly the analysis of the empirical evidence,which is the core part of the thesis.The second and third parts,through the method of mathematical model and geographical analysis,chooses the relevant data of China statistical yearbook,inbound tourism market in China is discussed systematically the evolution of the structure of space and time characteristics.The fifth part is a forecast of the number of Chinese inbound tourists and foreign exchange income,and the grey prediction model is adopted.fourth.Based on the current status of inbound tourism resources in China,this paper gives a general overview of the existing differences and focuses on the factors affecting the development of inbound tourism market.Sixth,To discuss the strategic layout of the development of China's inbound tourism market,and to explore the two destinations of our country's origin and the source of inbound tourists.Last,Objective summary of this paper.