Research On The Impact Of Changes In My Country's Trade Structure On Economic Growth

China’s economy has benefited from the tremendous thrust of reform and opening up,and it has become the second largest economy in the world.The development of foreign trade has made irreplaceable and important contributions in this process.The degree of foreign trade dependence in China has been maintained at more than 30%.The opening practice in the past forty years has witnessed the impact of foreign trade on China’s economic growth at the aggregate level.In addition,the development of foreign trade not only promotes quantitative growth at the macro level,but also brings about qualitative optimization at the micro level.During the initial period of reform and opening up,China’ trade structure was mainly based on labor-intensive industries such as consumer goods,clothing,and textiles.With the deepening of reforms and opening up,China’s foreign trade structure has been continuously optimized,and technology-intensive industries such as mechanical and electrical products,high-tech products have been dominated.Gradually gaining an advantage,optimizing the trade structure has a more powerful impact on economic growth.With China’s economy shifting from quantitative growth to quality development,construction trade strategy arises at the historic moment,the study how the structure of foreign trade and the influence of how much economic growth trading powers with construction practice has important research significance for improving the trade structure and economic growth.This article summarizes the general research on the impact of international trade structure on economic growth theory,examines the mechanism and path of trade structure influencing economic growth,and then analyzes the status of China’s economic growth and changes in trade structure,as well as foreign trade commodity structure and foreign trade.The correlation between the economic structure,foreign trade model structure,and foreign trade regional structure and economic growth;Selected from the empirical study on the economic growth,foreign trade structure and industrial structure variables such as the relevant data,using multiple linear regression to get the structure of foreign trade to industrial structure and economic growth influence quantitative analysis.According to the mechanism and path analysis,variation analysis,correlation analysis and empirical results put forward to improve China’s trade structure and promote countermeasures of economic growth.According to the research results,the following conclusions are drawn:(1)The mechanism of the trade structure’s influence on economic growth affects three aspects: physical capital accumulation mechanism,human capital accumulation mechanism,and technological progress mechanism;adjustment of trade structure makes society.It tends to produce capital-intensive products,so that the physical capital of the society is accumulated,and the increase of capital-labor rate further promotes economic growth;the optimization of trade structure allows human capital to accumulate,exerts its effect through internal and external effects,and increases labor productivity.Material capital productivity and technical efficiency will eventually promote the increase of economic growth;in addition,the knowledge-intensive trade structure formed by the accumulation of human capital will increase the added value of commodities and further increase trade,thereby increasing the income of the entire country.The advanced development of the trade structure also promotes R&D activities through advances in technological level of the entire society brought about by technological innovation,technology transfer,and technology spillover,further increasing the technological added value of export products,thereby enhancing trade competitiveness,improving the quality of trade development,and lasting Promote economic growth.From the industrial structure path and the technical level,the trade structure exerts the mechanisms of physical capital accumulation,human capital accumulation,and technological progress to promote economic growth.(2)There is a strong correlation between the trade structure and economic growth.The correlation coefficient between the external commodity structure index,the foreign trade structure index,the foreign trade model structure index and the economic growth variable is 0.93,0.97,0.97,and-0.73.There is a highly positive linear correlation between the first three trade structure indices and the economic growth variables,and there is a negative correlation between the foreign trade regional structure index and the economic growth variables,which can be obtained by combining the meaning of the four trade structure indexes.Optimization promotes economic growth.(3)According to empirical test results,there is a linear correlation between trade structure and economic growth,but there is only a single causal relationship between the two,and the former is the Granger cause of the latter.There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the trade structure and the upgrading of the industrial structure.The former has a positive influence on the latter and the two are mutual Granger causes.The optimization of the trade structure and the upgrading of the industrial structure promote each other and jointly affect economic growth..In the course of China’s economic development,changes in the trade structure and industrial structure have played a crucial role in economic growth.Both determine and reflect the quality and speed of economic growth.(4)The comparative advantage of China’s trade is gradually increasing,and its promotion effect on economic growth is enhanced;the added value of product technology is low,and the lack of core technical support;the index of intra-industry trade needs to be further improved;the concentration of foreign trade market is too high,trade is inter-regional Began to transfer.Based on the mechanism,path analysis,change analysis,correlation analysis and empirical results of changes in trade structure affecting economic growth,we propose suggestions for improving China’s trade structure and promoting economic growth.(1)At the national level: Establish appropriate trade protection policies,accelerate the development of free trade areas,actively explore the construction of free trade zones and free trade ports,and actively guide the transfer of high-tech value-added industrial chains from foreign companies to China,limiting the inflow of low-level FDI,vigorously implement innovation-driven development strategies,establish a flexible financing environment;(2)industry-level:accelerate industrial restructuring and rationalization,promote the modernization and advanced development of agriculture and industry,and vigorously promote modern services Industry development,high-tech industries to lead the export of high-tech value-added products;(3)enterprise level: abandon extensive growth,relying on innovation-driven development,rationalization of trade area structure choices.