Influencing Factors And Policy Analysis Of Mutton Price In Beijing

Mutton,as a high-nutrition livestock product,occupies an important place in the dietary pattern of Beijing residents.The fluctuations of its supply situation and market price have a tremendous influence on the livelihood of 21.7 million permanent resident populations in Beijing and especially the Muslim residents of Uyghur and Hui nationality.Meanwhile,the influence will spread to production structure adjustment of animal husbandry in China.Since 2014,affected by rise of output pressure,slowing of consumer demand growth,increase of imported mutton quantity,the mutton slaughtering and wholesale have been in the low-price running state in Beijing and surrounding areas while the price has remained high in Beijing retail market,which have a great influence on farmers and mutton consumption of Beijing residents.In order to comprehensively understand the conditions of main mutton producing areas,accurately identify the core factors which play a key role in the operation of mutton market and to assess the effect of current situation on the future market price of mutton,the thesis conducts the specific field study in mutton production,distribution and wholesale and retail enterprises of Beijing and Inner Mongolia to analyze the overall link of mutton production,supply and distribution,and mean while it carries out the full investigation and study in the influence of mutton market price changes on the residents' life.The thesis mainly adopts the method of combining quantitative and qualitative researches.Quantitative researches are conducted mainly through field investigations and citywide sampling surveys;Qualitative researches are carried out by field informal discussion,depth interviews,field visits,literature research and data purchasing.The thesis utilizes the record data of the mutton price and trading volume in Price Monitoring Center of Beijing through the years,combining with a questionnaire survey data of research firms,to analyze the mutton consumption habits of Beijing residents,master the operation rules of Beijing market,find out the existing problems in the current price operation,and put forward the targeted suggestions of policy.By analyzing the whole operation condition of mutton market in Beijing,the thesis draws the basic conclusion that:increasing supply and single variety results in the price fall of mutton;the decline of prices causes heavy losses of farmers,or leads to shrinkage of breeding scale,causing the mutton supply gap;Quantity of imported mutton decline year by year in the latest three years,leading to a decline prices of mutton in Beijing market in the short term,but the effect is weak in the later term;Mutton price is expected to be steady in the short term,and rise in the long term.The thesis proposes the policy suggestions that:fostering the main parts of scale cultivation,building channels of brand marketing and reducing circulation;developing deep processing,prolonging the products chain,and improving additional values of products;giving full play to local advantages,and participating in the competition of international market;ensuring the demands of special consumers.