Research On Agricultural Products Trade Between China And Other BRICS Countries

As an emerging economy,the BRICS countries have an important influence in the world and play an important role in promoting the development of the world economy.Agriculture has always been the focus of the development in the BRICS countries.Agricultural trade is an important part of the economic and trade development among BRICS countries.With the continuous improvement of the BRICS cooperation mechanism,the economic and trade cooperation of BRICS countries ushered in the second "Golden Decade".How to make better use of the comparative advantages of BRICS in agriculture and tap the potential of agricultural trade in the new historical period is worth further study.On the basis of systematically summarizing and analyzing relevant trade theories,this paper analyzed the trade scale and trade structure of agricultural products between China and other BRICS countries.The competitiveness of agricultural trade between China and other BRICS countries was analyzed by using the indicative comparative advantage index and export similarity index,and the complementarity of agricultural trade between China and other BRICS countries was analyzed by using the trade complementarity index and trade intensity index.Furthermore,combining the stochastic frontier method with the traditional gravity model,two groups of stochastic frontier gravity models were established for export trade volume and total trade volume respectively.This paper empirically analyzed the factors affecting China's agricultural trade,and estimated the trade efficiency and trade potential of China's agricultural products with other BRICS countries.Finally,according to the theoretical analysis and empirical research conclusions,the corresponding policy recommendations were put forward.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows:(1)The concentration of advantage agricultural products in BRICS countries is relatively high,and the degree of advantages of these agricultural products remains stable in general.China and other BRICS countries have mild competition in the world agricultural market,and the degree of competition is gradually increasing.China and other BRICS countries have strong complementarity in agricultural trade,and the complementarity remains stable.(2)The total economic volume and common language of both sides can promote agricultural trade,while the geographical distance and the difference of per capita income between the two sides are not conducive to the development of agricultural trade.There are non-efficiency factors in China's agricultural products trade,and the non-efficiency factors are time-variant.The signing of free trade agreement,perfect maritime transportation network,degree of currency freedom and degree of financial freedom can effectively promote China's agricultural trade.However,import and export tariffs are important reasons for hindering China's agricultural trade.The rise of RMB exchange rate is beneficial to China's agricultural exports,but it has hindered the total import and export trade.(3)Since 2011,the efficiency of China's export trade of agricultural products to other BRICS countries has generally shown a downward trend.At the same time,the efficiency of China's import and export trade of agricultural products with other BRICS countries is generally low,and there is a large space for trade promotion.