Evaluation Of Agricultural Subsidy _Ee_rf_aficiency In The Post-agricultural Tax

As an agricultural country,three rural issues in China,concerning agriculture,rural areas and farmers,are related to national rejuvenation,prosperity and people's happiness.In the report of the Nineteenth National Congress of the Communist Party of China on October 28,2017,President Xi Jinping mentioned that three rural issues is the fundamental issue concerning the national economy and people's livelihood,and solutions of these Problems must always be the top priority of the Party's work.Since 2004,China has adopted the agricultural direct subsidies policy.The total amount of agricultural subsidy was from 14.52 billion Yuan in 2004 to 163.3 billion Yuan in 2016.China has preliminary explored the way of agricultural subsidy policy,but there are still some shortcomings compared with developed countries.This paper systematically studies the efficiency of the agricultural subsidy policy in the "post-agricultural tax era" by combining theoretical and empirical research methods,hoping to provide a basis for the improvement of agricultural subsidy policy.In theoretical analysis,based on economic theories such as finance and industrial economics,this paper describes the need for agricultural subsidies and analyzes the problems in china's agricultural subsidy.In empirical analysis,it is divided into total data analysis and per capita data analysis.Firstly,the grey relational analysis shows that the grey relational degree of the four agricultural direct subsidy policies,grain yield,agricultural added value and agricultural net income is over 0.5,showing that the effect is significant,and the single agricultural subsidy policy has a promoting effect on agricultural output and income,although the intensity of the effect is different.However,the overall grey correlation degree of agricultural direct subsidy fund policy is basically less than 0.5,which indicates that the single agricultural subsidy policy lacks overall coordination,leading to the negative effect on agricultural subsidy policy.Secondly,according to the calculation,China's agricultural comprehensive output rate declined year by year from 2006 to 2015,indicating that the growth rate of return on investment showed negative growth.The output elasticity of large fluctuations,the unstable efficiency of agricultural direct subsidy fund,and the low elasticity index in 2012 and 2013,indicating that the efficiency of agricultural direct subsidy is not high.Finally,according to the BCC model(variable returns to scale)in Data Envelopment Analysis,efficiency of agricultural subsidy policies in different provinces and cities is evaluated in terms of comprehensive efficiency and scale efficiency based on the data of all regions in China in 2016,indicating that the comprehensive efficiency of agricultural subsidy in China is low,and the agricultural subsidy funds are effectively used in the main grain selling areas but not in other regions.By the evaluation of scale efficiency,we concluded that the implementation efficiency of agricultural direct subsidy policy depends on the efficiency of agricultural direct fund subsidy policy itself instead of the increase of agricultural direct fund subsidy scale.Through theoretical and empirical analysis,this paper compares the agricultural subsidy policy of the United States,the European Union,Japan and combines china's reality,putting forward that China should improve the way of agricultural subsidy,the agricultural insurance subsidies.Besides,strengthening the supervision of agricultural subsidy projects,cultivating new agricultural manager and Coordinating financial support for agriculture are also improtant.