Study On Financial Risk Assessment Of Agricultural Product Supply Chain Based On Confirmed Warehouse Model

Agriculture has always been an important industry in China.The report of the Nineteenth National Congress still put agriculture on the political agenda and carried out the strategy of “rural revitalization” to promote the smooth operation of agricultural economy.Therefore,the issue of agriculture,countryside and farmers is related to the national economy and people's livelihood.It is a fundamental problem that needs to be solved urgently.At the same time,it is also the most important thing to improve living standards,and it is closely related to our lives.In our country,the main supply of rural economy comes from the production and processing enterprises of agricultural products.When the enterprises of agricultural products are facing the problems of shortage of funds and economic supply,they will have a significant impact on the rural economy.Confirmed warehouse model can improve the capital flow of enterprises quickly,alleviate the difficulties of capital transfer and lack of funds of agricultural enterprises in our country,which has an important role and significance for the development of rural economy.To this end,this paper studies the related theory and risk of the Confirmed Warehouse model in the supply chain finance of agricultural products.The main work is as follows:Firstly,the relevant theories and methods involved in this paper are elaborated,focusing on the concept and mode of supply chain finance,the concept,characteristics,causes and risk assessment methods of agricultural products supply chain finance,which lays a theoretical foundation for the later research.Secondly,aiming at the confirming warehouse business,a risk evaluation index system is established,and a relatively perfect risk evaluation index system is established through the identification of risk indicators,the primary selection and screening of indicators and the specific description of indicators.Thirdly,because the risk has the characteristics of fuzziness and incompatibility,the fuzzy matter element can effectively deal with the incompatibility in the risk.Combining the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and the entropy weight method to determine the weight synthetically,the qualitative indicators are quantified,and the financial riskevaluation model of the agricultural product supply chain for confirming warehouse business is constructed,which makes the results more scientific and accurate.Finally,combined with the actual case,according to the specific situation of the designated enterprises,based on the establishment of risk assessment model,this paper analyzed the different risks faced by the financial business of agricultural products supply chain in different years,and elaborated the evaluation results.According to the different degrees of risk,targeted recommendations were put forward to better reflect the application value of this paper.