Research On The Optimization Of Pig Price Index Insurance In Hubei Province Based On The "pig-to-food Ratio"

In recent years,with the correct leadership of the government and the strong support of financial funds at all levels,Hubei Province has gradually developed into one of the leading domestic pig breeding provinces.The number of pigs on the market and the number of pigs on the market have been rising.The degree has also continued to increase.However,with the continuous promulgation of the national environmental protection policy and the overall planning of the pig breeding industry policy,Hubei Province,which is located in the area where the southern water network is concentrated,has been classified as a restricted development zone.Affecting the life and consumption of urban and rural residents in Hubei Province,Hubei pig farming industry is also facing huge challenges.Therefore,it is urgently necessary to actively prepare for the countermeasures.As one of the important socio-economic protection areas,the insurance industry is an important means for the government to support pig farming,protect the interests of pig farmers,and reduce the risk of catastrophe.In the new situation,it is important to formulate insurance policies for hog breeding and optimize the research on hog price index insurance products to improve the residents' ability to resist risks.In this context,this article studies the current state of the domestic pig breeding macro policy,the scale of pig breeding in Hubei Province,and the development status of pig insurance,and uses the moving average seasonal adjustment method to analyze the pig price time series in the past ten years,and analyzes its fluctuation The law is decomposed into three parts: periodicity,seasonality and randomness.Based on this analysis,the hog price fluctuations in Hubei Province in recent years are analyzed.The hog prices in Hubei Province have obvious seasonal fluctuation characteristics during the year,and there are obvious cyclical fluctuations.,A period of about 3.5 years,the characteristics of random fluctuations are not obvious.Based on the fluctuation law of graduate pig prices,it is determined to start with the hog price index insurance.The important parameter of the hog price index insurance is the “pig-to-grain ratio” as the entry point.The purpose is to disperse the market risks faced by hog farmers and use econometrics.The ARIMA model in the software SPSS predicts the 2018 hog price in Hubei Province,and based on this,proposes to establish a dynamic adjustment mechanism for the hog price index insurance "pig-to-grain ratio" in order to explore and optimize the hog price index insurance in Hubei Province.It is hoped that the results will serve as a demonstration.