Research On Influencing Factors And Trade Potential Of China Fibreboard Export

Fiberboard is an important product branch in wood-based panel series,and China is one of the important countries for fiberboard export.Since 2014,China's fibreboard export volume has continued to decline,and in 2018,China's fibreboard export volume dropped to the lowest point in nearly a decade.Fiberboard export trade is an important link and a key step related to the healthy development of the whole wood-based panel industry.The shrinking fiberboard export scale makes it necessary to study the process and influencing factors of China's fiberboard export trade in the new era.In view of this,this paper first summarizes the models used and the influence factors of fiberboard export.Then the paper analyzes the status quo of China's fiberboard import and export trade in detail,and concludes four influencing factors,including supply and demand,price,exchange rate and policy,according to the status quo of China's fiberboard export trade.Thirdly,the relevant trade data of 31 countries that accounted for 90% of China's fibreboard export from 2009 to 2016 were selected,and the selected variables were divided into basic variables and trade non-efficiency terms,and the "one-step method" was used for simultaneous regression.According to the results of empirical analysis,it is concluded that the six variables of China's GDP,per capita national income,factor endowment,bilateral exchange rate,customs burden and political stability of trading countries are significantly positively correlated to China's fibreboard export.Distance,China's per capita national income,China's fibreboard export price,China's fibreboard export ingredients import total,green trade barrier and five variables are significantly negatively correlated to China's fibreboard export.According to the export efficiency and untapped potential criteria,the 31 countries were divided into fully mature market,potential to be tapped market,mature market and immature market.Put forward different export strategies according to the differences of market types.Finally,policy Suggestions are put forward to promote the export of Chinese fiberboard and create a more benign and healthy environment for the development of wood-based panel industry.