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The Effects of Social Spending on Economic Growth and Standards of Living within U.S. States

Posted on:2017-08-03Degree:M.SType:Thesis
University:The University of North DakotaCandidate:Ebeling, Derek JFull Text:PDF
GTID:2469390014952030Subject:Economics
Abstract/Summary:
Social spending is a large and controversial program within the United States. Though a number of studies examined its effects on Gross Domestic Product ("GDP") between countries, very few specifically looked at its effectiveness solely within the United States. By doing so, international political policy deviations are controlled for. Further, most studies neglect the externalities of social spending on living standards. This paper fills these gaps by utilizing two US Census aid datasets -- state & local spending and federal aid & transfer payments -- for all 50 states to study the effects of social spending on Gross Domestic Product, Income, and Personal Consumption Expenditures.;Using two-stage residual inclusion estimation, the analysis first predicts social spending variables using its lags and Gross Domestic Product, Income, or Personal Consumption. In the second stage, the first-stage residuals predict Gross Domestic Product, Income, or Personal Consumption. Using this method, the short-term positive marginal benefits were found for Housing (≈;Additionally, this paper looks into the interplay of politics with social spending. In particular, how particular years, the political party and gubernatorial turnover are related to social spending and its effects on both the economy and standards of living. Both Labor and Welfare spending show strong influences from political policies.
Keywords/Search Tags:Spending, Effects, States, Standards, Living, Gross domestic product
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