A Comparative Study On The Influencing Factors Of Carbon Peak In APEC Members

Climate change is one of the most important common concern of all mankind,and its adverse effects have a significant impact on the global natural ecosystem,and bring severe challenges to social production and development.Currently,only a few countries have achieved carbon peaks.To achieve the 1.5 degree temperature control target,it is important to put forward carbon peaks in more economies as soon as possible.Therefore,analyzing the law of the carbon peaking process,defining and dividing the carbon emission peaking process stages,and comparing the carbon emissions’ influencing factors in different countries at the carbon peaking stage are of great significance for promoting the realization of global carbon peaking.This article is based on relevant literature,combined with the current path experience of countries that have reached the peak,and assumes the stage of the carbon emission peaking process.The article selects Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation(APEC)as the research object,selects its APEC member carbon emission data from 1965 to 2019,and divides the carbon emission characteristics of each member into five groups for comparative research.The article selects its overall and member carbon emission data to verify the hypothesis.Based on the SRITPAT model,an empirical analysis of the influence of various factors on the level of carbon emissions is carried out.Finally,discuss the differences between the members of each group,and put forward policy recommendations to reach the peak stage of total carbon emissions.According to the results,Chile and Vietnam among APEC members have not reached the carbon emission intensity peak.China has reached its peak carbon emission intensity and is working hard to achieve its goal of peaking carbon per capita.Most of the remaining members have reached their peak carbon per capita.Eight members have achieved the carbon total peak.The peaks and corresponding per capita GDPs of each member at the peak are significantly different.At present,no member has achieved carbon neutrality.Through the decomposition of carbon emissions influencing factors,Economic growth and population have mainly contributed to the increase in carbon emissions.Energy intensity,energy structure and carbon intensity effects inhibit carbon emissions to varying degrees.For APEC as a whole,both the optimization of energy structure transformation and the improvement of technological level have restrained the increase in carbon emissions.There is no significant negative correlation between the process of industrialization and carbon emissions.The carbon transfer caused by the activity increases to a certain extent in the overall carbon emission level.For members whose carbon emission intensity has not reached peak,in order to reduce emissions,reducing fossil energy consumption is the main way.The improvement of the level of clean energy technology is the focus of the realization of the stage;the second place in China Stage members should combine their own resource endowments,mainly to reduce the use of high-emission coal,and expand the development advantages of renewable energy;for the third group members who are striving to achieve the carbon emissions peak,it is recommended to optimize the energy structure.At the same time,energy efficiency should be improved and trade should be expanded to curb carbon emissions;for members that have reached the peak,they should focus on the research and development of clean energy and carbon capture and other related technologies to achieve carbon neutrality as soon as possible.Finally,the article summarizes the enlightenment for China’s carbon peak based on the comparison between China and the members of the peak group.