Chinese Carbon Emissions Based STIRPAT Of Influencing Factors

Environmental issues of global warming become a challenge to the world need to work together to face. The environmental situation in China’s economic development mode shift requires more severe. How to find China at the present stage to achieve a low carbon economy and accelerate the balance between urbanization, China has become the most urgent task. This paper explored the impact of factors affecting carbon emissions themes starting STIRPAT model based on empirical analysis of the impact of China’s carbon emissions factors affecting the introduction of geographical location, with spatial statistical techniques to study the spatial and temporal emissions of carbon-year period1994-2012evolution trend, and then analyzes the population size, economic output, technological innovation, energy intensity and other factors and regional differences in the impact of carbon emissions. Empirical research shows that:(1) The temporal evolution of China’s carbon emissions trends:growth in carbon emissions presents "inverted U curve" time trends; carbon emissions have spatial agglomeration tendencies; provincial carbon emissions in the presence of spatial autocorrelation.(2) Carbon emissions factors:technological innovation inhibition of poor stability of carbon emissions, the level of regional impact significant difference, the larger the role of technological innovation in carbon emissions play in east China, and technological innovation Northwest carbon emission reduction has not been a significant role; population size to increase carbon emissions have a significant positive effect, and has a certain degree of stability, the largest positive effect southwest; provincial domain size of the population in2006-2008to carbon emissions elasticity coefficient between0.04-0.11provinces domain size of the population from2009to2011carbon emissions elasticity between0.7-0.16, population size impact on carbon emissions in2009-2011to increase the size of the population in2011elasticity is higher than the level of carbon emissions level in2006-2008elasticity; economic output, the degree of impact on the energy intensity of carbon emissions significantly, and larger coefficient of elasticity, modulus of elasticity of the provincial domain of two factors were about1.According to empirical research findings, contact our actual development, the paper briefly presents a low-carbon development strategy:optimize energy consumption structure, the increase in oil, natural gas, hydro, nuclear proportion of change in the coal-dominated energy structure; improving energy efficiency, under difficult circumstances adjustment of energy structure, improving energy efficiency, energy conservation should be used as a long-term strategic approach; strengthen research and development efforts and international cooperation, scientific and technological innovation in the direction of carbon emissions and other low-carbon energy technologies in the field of the development of low-carbon technologies should be aspects of tilt, attention carbon technological innovation. Encourage and support scientific research institutions and enterprises in low-carbon technologies, strengthen cooperation between enterprises and research institutions, the ability to develop low-carbon technologies to identify and concentrate on the advantages of breakthrough technologies; encourages citizens to a low-carbon lifestyle.