| Automobile industry is an important pillar industry of national economy.Over the years,the vigorous development of the automobile industry is closely related to the introduction of advanced manufacturing technology from abroad.At the same time,the import of automobiles has promoted the improvement of people’s living standards,and also brought about scientific and technological progress.However,we should be soberly aware that there is still a big gap between China’s automobile manufacturing capacity and export scale compared with developed countries,especially automobile powers.China’s automobile import and export has been in deficit for a long time,which shows the characteristics of high proportion of vehicle import,high dependence on import regions and types,and large regional differences in China.These characteristics reflect that the impact of automobile import on domestic automobile enterprises is great,the industrial development is not balanced,the technology gap can not be crossed,and there are obvious shortcomings in the industrial development,which will be unfavorable to the high-quality development of China’s automobile industry in the long run.This paper starts with the analysis of China’s automobile import situation,first of all,based on the calculation of Theil index,it shows the significant characteristics of regional differences in China’s automobile import;then,using the theory of increasing scale benefit and product differentiation,it analyzes and selects the economic factors that may affect China’s automobile import.On the basis of collecting and sorting out the amount and quantity of automobile import,automobile industry development indicators and regional economic development indicators of representative provinces such as Beijing and Shanghai,this paper uses panel data regression model to conduct empirical research,and finally selects the random effect model.In the process of index selection and determination,this paper uses entropy weight method to calculate the "regional economic comprehensive index",which greatly simplifies the explanatory variables.The regression results show that the automobile output and regional economic situation have a positive impact on the automobile import,while the private car ownership and the average price of automobile import have a negative impact on the automobile import,while the resident population has no significant impact on the automobile import.Based on the above research conclusions,this paper proposes that we should comprehensively consider the influencing factors of China’s automobile import,appropriately expand the scale of automobile import,but gradually get rid of the dependence on imported automobiles,increase the R & D investment of domestic automobile enterprises and develop independent brands,deeply tap the domestic automobile consumption market and strive to create a good domestic automobile business environment Suggestions for physical development. |