Model And Algorithm Analysis Of Anti-ship Missile Combat Effectiveness

In recent years,although large-scale wars have not occurred in the world,local wars have never stopped.Sea wars are an important part of these wars.In sea wars,anti-ship missiles play an important role and become the key to the success or failure of sea wars.Therefore,studying the effectiveness of anti-ship missiles has strong practical application value.The current methods of anti-ship missile effectiveness evaluation have their own advantages and disadvantages.This topic mainly proposes a combination of simulation and analytical methods to study the performance of anti-ship missiles.The main research contents are as follows:1.The overall design of anti-ship missile effectiveness research based on the combination of analytical and simulation methods is carried out.Through the analysis of the offensive and defensive process of anti-ship missiles against surface ships,the various sub-efficiencies of anti-ship missiles are determined,and the composition of anti-ship missile countermeasures when anti-ship missiles fly in different channels is studied.2.Study the anti-detection effectiveness of anti-ship missiles and the sea-skimming survival effectiveness of anti-ship missiles.Based on the classical radar detection theory and the Swelling I model,the influence of sea clutter on the detection probability of the shipborne radar is considered,thereby affecting the anti-detection effectiveness of the anti-ship missile during sea-skimming flight.The probability of anti-ship missiles falling into the sea affected by sea conditions when anti-ship missiles fly at the same height is studied,and the survival probability of anti-ship missiles in sea skimming is derived.3.Study the effectiveness of anti-ship missiles to penetrate the interference and interception of ships.When anti-ship missiles attack water-proof surface ships,they may be interfered and intercepted by ships: dilute interference,center of mass interference,ship-to-air missile interception,and Phalanx weapon system interception.The influencing factors of the anti-ship missile’s random search terminal penetration of the ship’s center of mass interference are analyzed.When penetrating the center of mass interference,the ship motion model,the chaff cloud motion model,the anti-ship missile motion model and the beam cutting model of the ship and the chaff cloud are modeled,and the influence of speed on the penetration probability is analyzed.When analyzing the interception effectiveness of anti-ship missile penetration of ship-to-air missiles,the hit probability and damage probability models of ship-to-air missiles are constructed,and finally the influence of different heights and different speeds of anti-ship missiles on penetration effectiveness is analyzed.When analyzing the effectiveness of the anti-ship missile penetration "Phalanx" weapon system,the model of the "jump and dive" at the end of the anti-ship missile is constructed.When the anti-ship missile dives and strikes a ship,the average number of hits required to shoot down the anti-ship missile is calculated.Analyze,and finally analyze the impact of different dive angles and different speeds on the penetration effectiveness of different channels.4.Finally,plan the channel of the anti-ship missile attacking the water-proof surface ship,plan the confrontation capability of the surface ship,modify the penetration interception and interference probability model when the anti-ship missile uses multiple salvos,and finally modify the anti-ship missile Research and analyze the overall effectiveness of striking surface ships.