Research On Passenger Transport Generation Of Regional Integrated Transportation System Based On Synergetics

With the development of transportation technology and the rapid growth of passenger and freight demand,any single transportation mode among railways,highways,aviation,water transportation,and pipelines cannot meet the requirements of social and economic development.Integrated transportation,as an effective means to achieve integration and efficiency improvement of transportation infrastructure under the background of "new infrastructure",has become an inevitable trend in the development of the transportation field.In view of the current research situation that the domestic comprehensive passenger transportation generation analysis work needs to be improved and perfected.This paper carries out the "Study on Passenger Transport Generation of Regional Integrated Transportation System Based on Synergetics" to provide technical support for the analysis of passenger transportation generation of regional integrated transportation system.Firstly,analyze the characteristics of self-organization of the integrated transportation system,the principle and mechanism of Collaborative development,and explain the applicability of Synergetics to the regional integrated transportation system.Establish an order parameter description model to explain the significance of order parameters to the evolution of the system.Establish the sequence parameter analysis model of the comprehensive transportation system,and propose a method to determine the sequence parameter of the system.Secondly,analyze the self-evolution process of the passenger transportation related subsystems of the integrated transportation system and the coordination relationship between the subsystems,establish a Collaborative development model of the integrated passenger transportation system,and simplify the model based on the adiabatic principle.Analyze the cooperative and competitive relationship of Passenger transport generation and Passenger transportation capacity among various modes,and establish a general model for the coordinated and competitive development of multi-mode passenger transportation systems.Thirdly,based on the above two models to realize the forecast of comprehensive Passenger transport generation and highway Passenger transport generation.First determine the growth rate,apply the least square method to calibrate the model coefficients,and then use the static iterative calculation method to predict the Passenger transport generation in the forecast year and Perform error analysis on the forecast results,which shows that the fitting and prediction effects of the two models are good.Finally,the models proposed in this paper is realized through a computer programming language.A comprehensive transportation passenger transportation generation analysis module is designed,and it is incorporated as a comprehensive transportation demand analysis submodule into the domestic comprehensive transportation planning software Transtar(comprehensive transportation version)to improve the passenger transportation generation analysis function of the software.The research results of this article will provide useful technical ideas and implementation methods for comprehensive passenger transportation generation analysis,promote the development of regional comprehensive transportation demand analysis,provide decisionmaking basis for regional comprehensive transportation planning,and help the further promotion of research results in practice.