Research On China’s Wood Forest Products Market Potential Under The Background Of Double Cycle

2020 is the year when my country will build a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way.It is also a year when the global situation is relatively turbulent.Based on the international and domestic environment,my country has proposed a new development pattern of "domestic circulation as the main body,domestic and international dual circulation mutual promotion".In this context,the forestry industry will inevitably change the traditional mode of relying on external market development,and gradually realize the development mode that promotes both the domestic market and the international market.Therefore,the construction of the international and domestic supply market system for forest products has become one of the key factors affecting whether the development of the forestry industry can adapt to the new development pattern.Cultivate an effective domestic forest product market system and promote the collaboration between the existing international forest product market and it.It is necessary to accurately grasp the main factors affecting the development of these two markets and the status quo and changing trends of these factors.Among them,the international and domestic wood forest products The analysis,judgment and grasp of the product market potential are particularly important.This is a research topic with important theoretical and practical significance for the forestry industry to adapt to the requirements of the new development pattern.In view of this,the present situation of international and domestic forest product circulation in China was analyzed by descriptive statistics.It is found that in the international cycle,China’s wood forest products are in the position of "big import and big export".The scale of import and export is in the forefront of the world,and it is the largest country in the trade of wood forest products.In the domestic circulation,the proportion of China’s production and consumption of wood forest products in the world is rising.However,domestic supply can not meet domestic consumption for a long time,and the contradiction between supply and demand is prominent.It indicates that the domestic market development level of wood forest products does not adapt to the actual development of forestry industry.After analyzing the status quo,this paper constructs an extended gravity model and a linear regression model to further conduct empirical research on the international market potential and domestic market potential of my country’s wood forest products.International market potential research shows that the overall import and export trade potential of the Belt and Road countries is higher than that of the non-Belt and Road countries,and there are more countries with huge potential,which should be the key market for development and expansion.Research on the domestic market potential shows that the consumption of logs,sawn timber,paper and cardboard,wood-based panels and veneers is a type of huge potential,reflecting the huge potential for the productive demand for domestic wood forest products.Therefore,it is necessary to pass domestic The cultivation of the market system organically connects domestic productive demands with consumer demands,and provides effective market support for the forestry industry to gradually form an internal market cycle dominated by domestic production and domestic consumption.Finally,based on current research and empirical research,this article proposes to open source and reduce expenditure to expand domestic wood supply from the perspective of supply and demand in domestic recycling,and promote domestic wood consumption through publicity and education.In terms of international recycling,it proposes to seize the opportunity of the Belt and Road to reconstruct the forestry industry chain,Actively explore emerging markets to achieve diversified development and other suggestions.