Study On Relocation Intention And Influencing Factors Of Floating Population In Northeast China

The situation of population mobility in Northeast China has always been the focus of attention.The data show that the resident population in most areas of China increased from 2010 to 2018,but in Northeast China,such as Eastern three provinces and Inner Mongolia,Heilongjiang decreased by 443000 people,Jilin Province by 295700 people,Liaoning Province by 61000 people,Inner Mongolia by 86000 people.Very low population fertility rate,negative population growth,inflow population is obviously larger than the size of outflow population,inflow population is not strong willingness to settle down,talent attraction has become the main characteristics of population development in Northeast China.Among them,large-scale net population outflow seriously hindered the sustainable economic development of Northeast China and slowed down the level and quality of new urbanization.The systematic analysis of the influence on the outflow population and the willingness of the inflow population is of great significance for the introduction of targeted policies to attract or retain the population and to solve the current population problems in Northeast China.Based on the dynamic monitoring data of the floating population in 2017 and the dual Logistic model,this paper analyzes the floating population in Northeast China from three aspects: family characteristics,individual characteristics and public service characteristics,including inflow population and outflow population willingness to settle down and influencing factors.On the basis of comparing the two groups’ willingness to settle down,this paper puts forward policies to attract or retain the population in Northeast China.It is found that there are great differences between the outflow population and the inflow population’s willingness and influencing factors.First,educational differences.The higher the educational background,the more willing the outflow population in Northeast China is to settle in the local area,but the influence on the inflow population is not obvious.Third,the characteristics of public services are different.There is no obvious difference in the inflow of the population,and the inflow of the workers participating in trade unions,associations of voluntary organizations or associations of townsfolk are more willing to settle down,while there is no obvious difference in the outflow of the population.Combined with the conclusions of the study,this paper puts forward the following policy recommendations to attract or retain the population.(1)Increase income and reduce the cost of living;(2)Expand employment,improve employment opportunities and enhance employment stability;(3)Provide professional and technical professional level,enhance the professional quality and human capital of the floating population and improve their core competitiveness;(4)Develop relevant policies,such as providing housing subsidies or enriching public rental housing to meet the housing needs of highly educated migrant workers,and improve the basic treatment of highly educated migrant workers to attract highly educated people to the northeast;(5)Strengthen social security and build a good environment for the social integration of the floating population to improve the level of public services.