Study On Floating Population's Willingness To Settle And Purchase From The Perspective Of Intergenerational Differences

With the rapid development of industrialization and urbanization in China,the phenomenon of rural population gathering to cities is significant.As it's said in the"2017 China Floating Population Development Report",the total number of floating population will reach 245 million by 2016.It is expected that by 2020 this size will increase to 291 million,of which the rural-urban migration will be 220 million,and the urban-urban migration will be about 70 billion.The urbanization strategy Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era is based on promoting the urbanization of the people and improving the quality of urbanization.In 2018,the two sessions emphasized again that we should promote the effective transfer of agricultural population and accelerate the development of quality.Realizing the city settlement and the transformation from "migrant workers" to "citizens",not only has a profound impact on the long-term development of the floating population,but also plays animportant role in accelerating the development of urbanization,especially in promoting the urbanization of our country.However,under the condition of the market economy,the direction of national macro policy is only one aspect,What is more important is the willingness and behavior of relocating subject.It has been found that the floating population in the city shows some differences in the decision on where to settle down,which produces a different willingness to settle down or return to different residency,or mobility behaviors such as staying in the city,returning home,and continuong to migrate.Compared with the older generation,the new representatives show stronger desire for urban development.In view of the uniqueness of the population flow in China,based on the perspective of intergenerational differentiation,this paper combines micro and macro data,examines the new and old floating population's residence from the two dimensions of the willingness of the citizenization and the purchase plan on house,and try to further explore the influencing mechanisms that lead to intergenerational differences between the new generation of floating population and the older generation.On the basis of combing the relevant literature and theory,this paper puts forward the theoretical analysis framework,and makes full use of the dynamic monitoring data of floating population in 2014 from individual characteristics,flow characteristics,economic adaptation,social adaptation,and regional variables,to make a cross-statistical analysis of the intentions of the new and old floating population and their intention to purchase a house.In the empirical analysis,the logit model of the settlement intention and the mlogit model of the purchase intention were constructed respectively,based on the results of the stepwise regression,this parper is supposed to study the intergenerational differences within the floating population througth the regression grouped by the old and new generation,and further grouped by income level,and the regional factors are introduced to explore the mechanism of the difference.The study indicates that:(1)Overall,there is a significant difference in the residence willingness to stay in inflow cities between the new generation and the old generation of floating population.(2)specifically,there are differences between the main factors that influence the willingness of the new generation floating population to live in the old generation.(3)With regard to the different intentions of the settlement willingness and the purchase plan,the economic and social factors have the same influence,but the proportion is different.(4)the attraction of the city to the new generation of floating population is greater,and gradually transfered from survival to development.Based on the conclussions,in order to better promote the urbanization of urban migrants in China and truly realize the new-type urbanization with human-centeredness,this paper puts forward several pertinent policy suggestions as follows:firstly,strengthen education and training,to improve human capital;secondly,reform the household registration system,to eliminate institutional obstacles;thirdly,strengthen social security,to promote social integration;fourthly,reasonably guide the free flow of population.