The Study On The Influence Of Fiscal Expenditure Bias On Floating Population’s Residence Intention

Since the implementation of the Tax distribution system reform,the mismatch of financial authority and duty has led to greater financial pressure on local governments.Under the dual effect of financial pressure and promotion incentive,local governments will spend more fiscal expenditure on economic construction,which lead to insufficient financial investment in the field of people’s livelihood and obvious fiscal expenditure bias.However,the continuous improvement of China’s urbanization level is due to the largescale migration of population.In the process of migration and agglomeration,the population also begins to pay attention to the public services they can obtain in the destination.Therefore,in order to ensure that floating population can equally enjoy public services and further enhance the willingness to reside,it is of great significance to study the fiscal expenditure behavior of local governments.How to provide sufficient social public services to meet the needs of the floating population? How to ensure that the floating population can equally enjoy public services?How to adjust the financial expenditure behavior of local government to improve the residence willingness of floating population? This is the question that this paper needs to answer.The basic structure of this paper is as follows: Firstly,this paper defines the concepts of fiscal expenditure bias,floating population and floating population’s residence willingness,and introduces the public goods theory,externality theory and push-pull theory.Secondly,it describes the current situation of floating population,residence intention and financial expenditure structure,analyzes the theoretical basis of the previous article,combs the influence mechanism and action path between them,and puts forward research hypotheses.Thirdly,by matching the data of the China Migrants Dynamic Survey in 2017 released by the National health Commission with the macro data of cities,and the Orderly-probit model is constructed to carry out empirical analysis.The research finds that: Firstly,fiscal expenditure biased towards livelihood areas is conducive to improving the residence intention of floating population;Secondly,high living costs will inhibit the floating population’s willingness to stay,but increasing people’s livelihood expenditure will play a positive regulatory role in the impact channels of living costs and floating population’s willingness to stay;Thirdly,there is heterogeneity in this effect.For different skilled workers and the migrant groups of different ages,civil expenditure has different effects on floating population’s residence intention.Finally,according to the previous analysis and conclusions,summarize and put forward targeted policy suggestions.The innovations of this paper are reflected in the following aspects: Firstly,it examines the direct impact and possible mechanism of fiscal expenditure bias on floating population’s residence intention,which enriches and expands the existing research on residence intention;Secondly,in the aspect of heterogeneity analysis,the floating population is grouped by skill type and age,the empirical results can provide an empirical basis for local governments to formulate targeted policies and improve the floating population’s residence intention.Thirdly,the combination of micro and macro data provides more direct evidence for the study of the relationship between fiscal expenditure preference and floating population’s residence intention.