| In order to improve the energy-saving level of passenger cars,ease energy and environmental pressures,and establish a long-term mechanism for energy-saving and new energy vehicle management,the "13th Five-Year" National Strategic Emerging Industry Development Plan lists the new energy vehicle industry as a key support strategy Emerging industries.At present,the two old and new technologies of traditional energy vehicles and new energy vehicles have outstanding problems of competition,upgrade and reform.The government recently issued the "Parallel Management Method of Average Fuel Consumption of Passenger Car Enterprises and New Energy Vehicle Points" to promote new energy.In the development of the automotive industry,whether this type of policy can limit the production of old technologies and increase production of new technologies,this article focuses on the study of the mechanism of the policy,the adaptive decision-making of the enterprise and the effect of the policy.This article uses system dynamics modeling and simulation methods,through the analysis and analysis of the double-point industrial policy framework,first analyzes the causal loop of enterprise technology operations and R&D sub-modules under the influence of the double-point policy,and then builds "industrial policy affects the technical management of automotive companies And operation " system dynamics model,based on the model,select typical cases,conduct multi-case simulation research through double integral quadrant design,and discuss industrial policy impact,enterprise adaptive behavior,and policy effect.The study found that technology R&D is the key to reducing the actual value of fuel consumption and increasing the cruising range of new energy vehicles,thereby achieving a negative integral value;the regulation of key indicators such as the average fuel consumption reaching the standard value by the policy determines the enterprises to purchase through the market mechanism The difficulty and cost of positive points,which in turn affects its adaptive decision-making behavior in response to policies;the "double point policy" has a significant effect on reducing the output and R&D investment of fuel vehicles for passenger car companies and increasing the production capacity of new energy vehicles.In this regard,it is recommended that the government: set step-by-step gradual tightening of technical performance indicators,at the same time give enterprises policy pressure while stimulating technology research and development,and urge auto companies to achieve strategic transformation;companies should avoid completely market-oriented operating methods during the policy buffer period To actively improve the efficiency of technology indicators,and to facilitate the adjustment of production capacity and output when policies are tightened;at the same time,the government should also improve the construction of new energy vehicle-related infrastructure and encourage consumers to choose the market.This article explores the new and old automobile technology management behavior and decision-making mechanism at the enterprise level through the multi-scenario design of both policy factors and market factors,explores the rationality and implementation effects of government industrial policies,and provides a decision basis for automobile companies to develop new energy vehicles.To provide feasibility suggestions for the formulation of government policies,in the future research will focus on a comprehensive analysis of multiple companies in order to obtain more detailed research results. |