Assessment Of The Value Of Farmland Management Right Transfer

With the gradual advance of the reform of separating the three rights of agricultural land,the right of farmland management has become the investment object of various economic entities such as natural persons and enterprises through the way of transfer,thus becoming part of the assets of enterprises and individuals.The key point of the separation of three rights is to activate the right of management,so the transfer of the right of management of cultivated land is obviously the only way for modernization development.But in order to realize the smooth circulation of cultivated land management right,we need to carry on the real valuation of cultivated land management right and perfect the pricing mechanism of cultivated land management right.Therefore,it is very necessary to work out a reasonable transfer price and pricing mechanism of farmland management rights.It can promote the marketization process of rural cultivated land transfer and promote the marketization development of rural cultivated land.At present,the income method is the most frequently used method about the valuation and transfer of cultivated land management right.This method is relatively suitable in the value assessment of cultivated land management right after transfer.However,there are still some defects in the income reduction method used in the evaluation of farmland management right.In many cases,the assessors are based on the average value of the actual earnings in the past.This rough forecasting method will cause certain deviation in the final evaluation results,which will directly affect its application effect.In view of the above problems,this paper puts forward the idea of applying the grey prediction model in the evaluation of the transfer value of cultivated land management right to improve its current situation.Therefore,this paper firstly analyzes the applicability of several main evaluation methods used in the transfer value of cultivated land management right,and compares the advantages and disadvantages of these evaluation methods,and finally comes to the conclusion that the income method is the most can reflect the transfer value of cultivated land management right.On this basis,the problems existing in the practical application of traditional income method are analyzed.Next,grey forecasting model is proposed to improve the shortcomings of traditional income method.Firstly,the applicability of grey system theory in the valuation of cultivated land management right transfer value income method is analyzed,and then the application program of grey prediction model in the valuation of cultivated land management right transfer value is proposed.On this basis,the evaluation parameters of cultivated land management right transfer value are determined.In this way,the future development trend of crops can be accurately predicted so as to predict their income and expenses,and then the accuracy of assessment can be improved by the correction.At the same time,the ecological value in the process of management right transfer is introduced to construct an application model belonging to the value of farmland management right transfer,and it is applied in a specific example.Through the study of the actual case,this paper concludes that the grey prediction model can be applied to the assessment of the value of the transfer of farmland management right,and the income method based on the grey prediction can more scientifically incorporate the relevant uncertainties into the consideration of the value assessment,so that the assessment results are closer to the trend of the market.It has certain practical significance and application value in evaluating the transfer value of cultivated land management right in short term.