Study On Farmers’ Willingness To Pay For Delayed Felling Of Commercial Forest And Its Influencing Factors

In the context of global warming,forest carbon sink is of great significance for mitigating and adapting to climate change and promoting sustainable development.Expanding forest area,improving forest quality and extending forest rotation period are three effective ways to increase forest carbon sequestration and accelerate the realization of the double carbon target.For Fujian Province,the forest coverage rate has reached66.80%,ranking first in the country.There are certain bottlenecks in continuously expanding afforestation area and improving forest coverage rate.Therefore,increasing forest quality and extending forest rotation period are of great significance for promoting the development of forestry carbon sink and realizing the dual carbon goal in Fujian Province.In the context of the forestry carbon ticket project in Sanming City,Fujian Province,the tradable forest carbon sink has improved the expected value of forest land,and the forest management mode and management objectives have changed accordingly.This is mainly reflected in the fact that the forestry management entities will increase forest care and improve forest quality to obtain higher carbon sink income and timber income,especially when the trees reach the rotation period.The main body of forestry management faces the choice of cutting or not cutting,that is,whether to extend the felling time.From the perspective of utility theory,if the carbon sink income or other path compensation generated in the delayed cutting process is no less than the operator’s willingness to be compensated for delayed cutting,there will be a tendency to extend the rotation period,and vice versa.Therefore,when keeping the utility level unchanged or increasing after delayed cutting,the additional income generated during the extended period should not be less than the value of the willingness to be compensated.Since the reform of forest rights system,farmers have become the main operators and decision makers of forests,and are one of the important subjects to ensure the supply of carbon sink certification reduction in forestry in China.Therefore,with farmers as the main body of research,this paper explores farmers’ willingness to be compensated for delayed logging and its influencing factors,and analyzes the relationship between farmers’ willingness to be compensated and the net present value of carbon sink income during the delayed logging process,aiming to build a circular and sustainable ecological compensation mechanism for delayed logging,which can not only meet farmers’ compensation preferences,but also take into account the carbon sink benefits pursued by society.It is very important to improve our forest carbon sequestration capacity.In this paper,three typical carbon bill project areas of Le County,Sha County and Youxi County in Sanming City of Fujian Province were selected as the research area,and Chinese fir,an important tree species in southern China,was selected as the research tree in this paper.221 field survey data were used as the main research basis,and utility functions were constructed based on utility theory and compensation principle.Measure the amount of ecological compensation when farmers delay one carbon stamp monitoring period(five years)on the basis of the original rotation period,and analyze the factors affecting farmers’ willingness to be compensated by using the binary Logistic regression model.At the same time,calculate the forestry carbon stamp income during the delayed cutting process,and compare and analyze it with the average value of farmers’ willingness to be compensated.The aim is to construct a sustainable compensation mechanism for delayed logging.The main research conclusions are as follows:(1)The non-parametric estimated value of farmers’ willingness to participate in delayed cutting(five years)is 81.47 yuan/mu per year,and the parametric estimated value is 82.73yuan/mu per year,and the average value of the two calculation results is82.10 yuan/mu per year.Therefore,when the felling delay period is 5years,the average compensation amount of farmers’ delayed felling is about 82.10 yuan/mu per year.(2)Farmers’ willingness to accept compensation for delayed cutting is affected by multiple factors.Education level,forestry production income proportion,ecological environmental protection awareness,forestry policy information acquisition ability and farmers’ willingness to be compensated have significant effects on farmers’ willingness to be compensated,and the ratio of forestry production income has a negative impact on farmers’ willingness to be compensated.The other variables had positive effects on farmers’ willingness to be compensated for delayed cutting.(3)When the price of forestry carbon stamp is 15 yuan/ton,during the delayed cutting period,the net present value of carbon stamp income is about 10yuan/mu per year,which is lower than the average amount of farmers’ willingness to be compensated 82.10 yuan/mu per year,and if it reaches the value of farmers’ willingness to be compensated,additional subsidies are about 72 yuan/mu per year.When the price of forestry carbon ticket reaches about 132 yuan/ton,the marginal utility of farmers choosing delayed cutting and immediate cutting is the same.With the further increase of forestry carbon ticket price,the utility level of farmers choosing delayed cutting is higher,so they are more inclined to extend the cutting time of trees to obtain higher carbon sink income.