Research On The Performance Of Women's Throwing Events In The 24th To 32nd Olympic Games And The Prediction Of The Results Of The Paris Olympic Game

The 33 rd Paris Olympic Games is the first Olympic Games in which China has started to strive for the second centenary goal in response to the trend.Its achievements concern national honor and national image.To stand out in the Olympic Games and win glory for the country is the ideal goal of every participant.However,the female throwing event is one of the key events in the preparation for the Olympic Games.Its breakthrough is of great significance to the development of Chinese competitive sports.At present,with the shortened preparation period for the Olympic Games,the development of women’s throwing event in China has both opportunities and challenges,which requires our coaches and researchers to be familiar with the development law and direction of this event,so as to make innovations and breakthroughs.This study takes the performance of the top eight female athletes in track and field throwing event from the 24 th Olympic Games to the 32 nd Olympic Games as the research object.By using the methods of literature,logical analysis and gray prediction,this study makes an in-depth discussion on the age characteristics,stability and performance development trend of the athletes,so as to explore their internal laws and connections.On this basis,To predict the first,third and eighth place results of women’s throwing events at the 2024 Paris Olympic Games,grasp the future development trend,provide target guidance for the sports training theory of women’s throwing events,and make contributions to the preparation for the Paris Olympic Games.The results show that the sports life of the world elite female throwers is lengthening and the average age is rising steadily.The overall trial rate of throwing projects shows a downward trend from the time line,and the success rate of trial from high to low is as follows: first > second >third > fifth > sixth > fourth.The optimal result rotation order is: third vote > first vote > sixth vote > fifth vote > second vote > fourth vote.According to the trend of performance development,except for hammer throw,all other events have a downward trend;From the predicted results,it can be seen that the performance of shot put,javelin,and discus events has shown a downward trend,with only the hammer throw event showing an increase in performance.The research conclusions are as follows:(1)In women’s throwing events of the 24 th to 32 nd Olympic Games,the average age of athletes shows an increasing trend,and the age span gradually increases.The optimal competition range is 26 to 30 years old,and the age difference of individual athletes is significant.The optimum competitive age of hurling athletes in our country tends to be young,and the sport life is relatively short.(2)In the final of women’s throwing event of the 24 th to 32 nd Olympic Games,the success rate of the final decreased gradually with the increase of the number of throws,and the probability of the best score was the highest in the third and last throw.Chinese athletes have the greatest probability of the best score in the fifth throw,and the success rate of each round of all the events are significantly higher than the world level,with high stability.(3)In the month on month and fixed base ratio analysis of the results of women’s throwing events in the 24 th to 32 nd Olympic Games,showed different trends in shot put,discus and javelin,with the overall trend of decline,while the results of hammer throw showed an increasing trend from session to session.(4)The predicted results of women’s shot put in the 33 rd Paris Olympic Games are 20.52 m in the first place,19.96 m in the third and 18.55 m in the eighth.The predicted results for the women’s discus are 68.97 m for the first place,65.15 m for the third and 62.59 m for the eighth.The women’s javelin throw is projected to be 66.01 m first,64.41 m third and 61.27 m eighth.The women’s hammer throw is predicted to be 81.98 meters for the first place,76.43 meters for the third place and 74.97 meters for the eighth place.Based on the predicted results of the 33 rd Paris Olympic Games,compared with Tokyo Olympic Games,except for the first place in shot put,the third place in discus,the third place in javelin and the first,third and eighth place in hammer throw,other predicted results showed a certain decline.