Research On China’s Export Trade Resilience Pattern And Influencing Factors Of Spatial Differentiation

Since the reform and opening up,especially since joining the WTO,China has continuously expanded its opening to the outside world,actively participated in and resolutely promoted economic globalization,and achieved world-renowned achievements in export trade.However,in recent years,trade protectionism,anti-globalization policies,geopolitical conflicts and public health events,etc.,have had a very big impact on economic globalization.The entire trade environment is getting worse and worse.Increased uncertainty,greater volatility,and greater risk are a trend in foreign trade in recent years.In this context,it is of great significance to fully understand and effectively improve the resilience of my country’s export trade.Based on the integration of predecessors about the incident of impact toughness,export trade,export trade influence factors,on the basis of research,such as on analyses of the development of export trade of our country,from theoretical and empirical literature study method is adopted to define the characteristics of the export trade toughness and impact factors,and then build the index system by global entropy value method to measure of export trade toughness,The spatial differentiation pattern of China’s export trade resilience is compared and analyzed.Finally,the influencing factors of the spatial differentiation of China’s export trade resilience are analyzed through geographical detector.The results show that :(1)the resilience of China’s overall export trade has been growing steadily and rapidly,and the ability to resist risks,recover,and re-innovate has been continuously enhanced.(2)The spatial distribution of export trade resilience changes obviously,and the regions with high level of export trade resilience gradually "move east".(3)The driving effect of wage level is the highest,and the interaction effect of all influencing factors is mutually enhanced,without weakening or independent relationship.Among them,the interaction effect of economic development level and scientific research investment with other factors in2020 is significantly increased compared with that in 2009.Based on the research conclusions and the characteristics of China’s export trade development,this paper puts forward corresponding policy suggestions mainly from the aspects of risk prevention and control,export diversification,increasing research and development,and high-quality development.The innovation of this paper lies in that the rich connotation of the toughness of export trade,has constructed the export trade of toughness evaluation system,the comparative analysis on the toughness of space-time structure of export trade,export trade and making use of the geographical probe model to detect resilience space differentiation factors,to realize and improve our export toughness and exporting high quality development has a certain reference significance.