Research On The Characteristics And Influencing Factors Of Spatiotemporal Differentiation Of China’s Agricultural Economic Resilience

Agricultural economic resilience is a new perspective to explain the characteristics and differences of agricultural economic fluctuations,which has attracted increasing attention from academia.Agriculture is an important raw material and the guarantee of basic energy resources,and has made outstanding contributions to national economic and social development,but agriculture,as a special economy,also faces a series of problems and challenges under external shocks.So,it is of great meaning to study the resilience of agricultural economy and analyze its influencing factors to enrich the research content of economic resilience and promote the agricultural economy.On account of,this thesis selects the research objects of 31 regions(Autonomous regions and municipalities directly included in the central government and autonomous regions)in China,constructs the evaluation index system of agricultural economic resilience from three dimensions like resistance and resilience,adaptability and restructuring ability,and innovation and transformation ability,uses the entropy value method to measure agricultural economic resilience,analyzes the temporal and spatial differentiation characteristics of economic resilience,and generate geoeconomic models to study the influencing factors of agricultural economic resilience,and,from the regional market size,agricultural economic scale,agricultural factor input.Forest cover and scientific and technological input intensity were used to examine the heterogeneity characteristics of factors influencing agricultural economic resilience.The main conclusions of the study are as follows:First,from the perspective of time evolution,overall,the resilience of agricultural economies in all provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government)in China has been significantly improved.From an inter-provincial perspective,Shandong has the highest average agricultural economic resilience and Qinghai the lowest.In terms of regions,the central region has the resilience of the agricultural economy and exceeds the national average,the agricultural economic resilience of the western region is significantly less than that of other regions,the difference in the mean resilience of the agricultural economy in the east and northeast is small,and the average agricultural economic resilience of the eastern region is significantly higher than the northeastern region after 2017;In terms of growth rate,the overall growth rate of China’s agricultural economic resilience was slower between 2008 and 2013,while the growth rate increased significantly between 2013 and 2020.Secondly,from the perspective of spatial evolution,the regions with the highest level of agricultural economic resilience are mainly concentrated in eastern and Central regions;and,and the level of agricultural economic resilience in the northeast and west regions is generally low.The level of economic resilience is high,and the number of medium-level regions has increased significantly,from 16 in 2008 to 29 in 2020,while the number of low-level areas has decreased significantly,from 15 in 2008 to two.The overall differences in the resilience of China’s agricultural economy,as well as within and between regions,are decreasing.In terms of spatial correlation,the positive spatial correlation between regions is increasing,and the characteristics of "high-low" agglomeration and "low-low" agglomeration are the most obvious.The "high-high" agglomeration provinces.It is mainly distributed in the central and eastern regions;and the "low-low" agglomeration provinces are mainly distributed in the western and northeastern regions.Finally,in terms of influencing factors,the resilience of agricultural economy had a significant positive relationship with regional market scale,agricultural economic scale,agricultural factor input,and scientific research fund investment,and a significant negative relationship with urbanization level and environmental regulation intensity.It can be seen that a good business environment,economic development level,agricultural production factors and scientific research investment have a role in promoting the resilience of agricultural economy,while urbanization development and regional environmental regulation have a restraining effect on agricultural economic resilience in the short term.On this basis,this thesis makes policy recommendations: first,strengthen interregional agricultural cooperation to continuously narrow regional economic differences;Second,strengthen the construction of agricultural ecological environment in sparsely populated areas,and stabilize the sown area of crops in coastal areas;Third,improve the capacity of agricultural economic development in the region;Fourth,promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas in the east,promote urban-rural integration,promote new-type urbanization,and promote the transfer of rural surplus labor to employment;Fifth,promote the construction of agricultural ecological civilization;Fifth,strengthen the construction of scientific and technological innovation system and enhance the ability of modern agriculture to support and guarantee.