The Study On Coordinative Development Patterns Between Ecological Environment And Socioeconomic Development Of Peninsula Urban Agglomeration

The Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration is located in the North coastal developed area of our country. With super section condition and geographical advantages, it has especial advantage in opening up to the outside world, the development of export-oriented economy and the contact ion with the inner part of it. At the same time, the good domestic and international environment gives the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration enomorous development opportunity, but with the speedy development of economy, industrialization and urbanization, the contradiction between environment and development becomes more and more stressful and severe. Protecting ecological environment and realizing sustainable development will be the key to the development of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration in future.The paper takes the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration as the research target , simulates and diagnose the mutual relationship between ecological environment and socioeconomic development by the method of System Dynamics, based on the qualitative analysis of the ecological environmental resources, socioeconomic development and their mutual relationship of the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration. According to the simulation results , the relatively better coordinate degree between environment and economics is merely in the middle rank of harmonious level without achieving the excellent level. It demonstrates that Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration will be faced with serious challenge in its future development ; on the other hand, it also shows us the realisticmeaning of looking for the relatively excellent pattern of ecological environment and socioeconomic development, according to this area' s present situation. At the end of this paper, it gives several harmonious patterns of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration, providing the theory foundation for formulating developing strategy of this district. The whole paper includes seven parts:Part 1: present the question. The paper introduces the recent development of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration and the main problems it faced, and presents the necessity of researching the coordinative patterns between ecological environment and socioeconomic development of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration.Part 2: In this part, pose relative theoretical basis, including the System Dynamics theory, Ecological Economics theory and Sustainable Development theory, and also present some fundamental principles for the development of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration.Part 3: analyze the economic system of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration qualitatively, mainly analyze the recent development of economy, industry, industrialization, export-oriented economy , population .urbanization, etc.Part 4: analyze the ecological environment system of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration qualitatively, mainly analyze the development of compositions and characteristics of the ecosystem, the resources, ecological environment, peninsula urban agglomeration ecological construction, etc.Part 5: make the principal components analysis to the ecological environment and social economic development of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration. Mainly analyze the mutual effects between ecological environment and social economic development.Part 6: apply the System Dynamics fundamental theory and method, byanalyzing dynamics behavior of the ecological environment and social economic system of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration, make the SD pattern, draw the ten patterns of Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration by simulating in the following twenty years. Such as, natural development pattern, rapid growth pattern of population and economy, ordinary growth pattern of population and economy, slow growth pattern of population and economy, pattern of rapid economic growth and ordinary resources environmental protection, pattern of relatively fast economic growth and ordinary resources environmental protection, pattern of ordinary economic growth and environmental protection, intensive ecology, pattern of slow economic growth and environmental protection, intensive ecology, environmental protection, intensive and ecological pattern, then use coordinative degree to analyze the ten patterns quantitatively, decide three coordinative development plans of action.Finally analyze the conclusion, innovation and shortcomings of this article.