Prediction And Regulation Of Eco-city Development Trend In Qingdao

The deepening process of urbanization plays an important role in the development of the whole society.While driving economic development,it will also put tremendous pressure on urban infrastructure,which will lead to various aspects of construction lagging behind the development of urbanization,which will cause a series of problems,such as:higher unemployment rate,energy shortage,increased pollution and so on.In this paper,system dynamics is applied to the study of eco-city construction in Qingdao.The main contents are as follows:Firstly,the main research contents and achievements of eco-city and Qingdao development are understood,and the breakthrough of research methods and contents is found.That is to say,the system dynamics method is used to forecast the development trend of Qingdao eco-city.The current development situation of Qingdao City is analyzed from four aspects:economy,environment,human settlements,resources and pollution.Secondly,using SD theory as the main method,the different trends of eco-city development in Qingdao were studied.The model taking Qingdao as the research object is constructed,and then five different development ideas are simulated based on setting different values for eight influencing factors in the model.Based on the relevant data of Qingdao from 2008 to 2017,the development of the next five years is forecasted.Finally,the forecasting results under five different development ideas are obtained,and all the forecasting results are analyzed.Finally,it is the responsibility of the times to continuously promote the development of eco-city.In order to ensure the construction of eco-city under the most scientific and rational thinking,based on the simulation results of the model,this study gives a series of policies and opinions on how to properly promote the development of eco-city.The results show that under the idea of harmonious development,Qingdao is the most effective city in the development of ecological city.